Scottish Premiership

Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 38

May 28, 2023 at 3pm UK

BBSP Stadium Rugby Park

Kilmarnock
3 - 1
Ross County

Lyons (36'), Armstrong (49' pen.), Vassell (78')
Taylor (62'), Vassell (69'), Lyons (75'), McKenzie (90+5')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Dhanda (63' pen.)
Baldwin (26')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Scottish Premiership clash between Kilmarnock and Ross County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Kilmarnock

All competitions

Last Game: Dundee Utd 0-3 Kilmarnock
Wednesday, May 24 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Top scorers

Ross County

All competitions

Last Game: Ross County 3-3 St Johnstone
Wednesday, May 24 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Kilmarnock 1-2 Ross County

While Kilmarnock might have the home advantage in this match, it is the visitors that have got something to play for here and that in itself should give Ross County the edge in this match. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 52.55%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Ross County had a probability of 22.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.75%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.74%), while for a Ross County win it was 0-1 (7.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kilmarnock would win this match.

Result
Kilmarnock	Draw	Ross County
52.55% ( -0.53)	24.7% ( 0.26)	22.75% ( 0.28)

Both teams to score 50.33% (

-0.44)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.51% (

-0.74)

51.49% (

0.75)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.71% (

-0.66)

73.29% (

0.65)

Kilmarnock Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.43% (

-0.5)

19.56% (

0.5)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.52% (

-0.82)

51.48% (

0.82)

Ross County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.57% (

-0.16)

37.43% (

0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.79% (

-0.15)

74.21% (

0.15)

Score Analysis

Kilmarnock 52.54%

Ross County 22.76%

Draw 24.7%

Kilmarnock	Draw	Ross County
1-0 @ 11.94% ( 0.17) 2-0 @ 9.75% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.58% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 5.3% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 5.21% ( -0.11) 3-2 @ 2.56% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 2.16% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 2.12% ( -0.08) 4-2 @ 1.04% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.88% Total : 52.54%	1-1 @ 11.74% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 7.32% ( 0.22) 2-2 @ 4.71% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.93% Total : 24.7%	0-1 @ 7.2% ( 0.18) 1-2 @ 5.77% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 3.54% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 1.89% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.16% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.67% Total : 22.76%