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Scottish Premiership
Kilmarnock logo
Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 38
May 28, 2023 at 3pm UK
BBSP Stadium Rugby Park
Ross County

Kilmarnock
3 - 1
Ross County

Lyons (36'), Armstrong (49' pen.), Vassell (78')
Taylor (62'), Vassell (69'), Lyons (75'), McKenzie (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Dhanda (63' pen.)
Baldwin (26')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Scottish Premiership clash between Kilmarnock and Ross County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Kilmarnock

All competitions
Last Game: Dundee Utd 0-3 Kilmarnock
Wednesday, May 24 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership

Ross County

All competitions
Last Game: Ross County 3-3 St Johnstone
Wednesday, May 24 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: Kilmarnock 1-2 Ross County

 While Kilmarnock might have the home advantage in this match, it is the visitors that have got something to play for here and that in itself should give Ross County the edge in this match. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 52.55%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Ross County had a probability of 22.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.75%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.74%), while for a Ross County win it was 0-1 (7.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kilmarnock would win this match.

Result
KilmarnockDrawRoss County
52.55% (-0.532 -0.53) 24.7% (0.256 0.26) 22.75% (0.275 0.28)
Both teams to score 50.33% (-0.44 -0.44)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.51% (-0.745 -0.74)51.49% (0.746 0.75)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.71% (-0.655 -0.66)73.29% (0.654 0.65)
Kilmarnock Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.43% (-0.499 -0.5)19.56% (0.498 0.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.52% (-0.82 -0.82)51.48% (0.819 0.82)
Ross County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.57% (-0.159 -0.16)37.43% (0.157 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.79% (-0.153 -0.15)74.21% (0.15300000000001 0.15)
Score Analysis
    Kilmarnock 52.54%
    Ross County 22.76%
    Draw 24.7%
KilmarnockDrawRoss County
1-0 @ 11.94% (0.17 0.17)
2-0 @ 9.75% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.58% (-0.054 -0.05)
3-0 @ 5.3% (-0.091 -0.09)
3-1 @ 5.21% (-0.112 -0.11)
3-2 @ 2.56% (-0.066 -0.07)
4-0 @ 2.16% (-0.072 -0.07)
4-1 @ 2.12% (-0.08 -0.08)
4-2 @ 1.04% (-0.044 -0.04)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 52.54%
1-1 @ 11.74% (0.12 0.12)
0-0 @ 7.32% (0.216 0.22)
2-2 @ 4.71% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 24.7%
0-1 @ 7.2% (0.182 0.18)
1-2 @ 5.77% (0.034 0.03)
0-2 @ 3.54% (0.075 0.08)
1-3 @ 1.89% (0.0029999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 1.54% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.16% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 1.67%
Total : 22.76%

Head to Head
Jan 28, 2023 3pm
gameweek 23
Ross County
3-0
Kilmarnock
Brophy (13'), White (48'), Dhanda (63')
Callachan (38')

Vassell (78')
Oct 22, 2022 3pm
gameweek 12
Kilmarnock
1-0
Ross County
Armstrong (20')
Cameron (13')
Aug 20, 2022 3pm
gameweek 4
Ross County
1-0
Kilmarnock
Edwards (86')
Callachan (38'), Baldwin (62'), Cancola (78'), Johnson (90+4')
Callachan (81')

Lafferty (41'), Shaw (61'), Sotona (82'), Donnelly (88')
Apr 10, 2021 3pm
gameweek 1
Kilmarnock
2-2
Ross County
Burke (3'), Pinnock (16')
McKenzie (30'), Lafferty (70'), Power (85')
Gardyne (5'), Iacovitti (54')
Tillson (15'), Naismith (30'), Vigurs (61')
Mar 6, 2021 3pm
gameweek 31
Ross County
3-2
Kilmarnock
Mckay (38', 49'), Hjelde (47')
Tillson (63'), Lakin (69')
Lafferty (18', 77')
Millen (27'), Lafferty (33')
Millen (90+4')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Celtic1110103132831
2Aberdeen11101024101431
3RangersRangers11713168822
4Dundee UnitedDundee Utd125431813519
5Motherwell116141514119
6St Mirren134361722-515
7Dundee123361824-612
8Kilmarnock123361525-1012
9Ross County132651021-1112
10St Johnstone133191627-1110
11Hearts132381420-69
12Hibernian121561118-78
> Scottish Premiership Full Table


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