Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 44.29%. A win for Ross County had a probability of 30.96% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.14%) and 2-0 (7.18%). The likeliest Ross County win was 0-1 (7.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.
Result | ||
Hearts | Draw | Ross County |
44.29% ( 0.07) | 24.75% ( -0.5) | 30.96% ( 0.43) |
Both teams to score 57.04% ( 1.9) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.1% ( 2.38) | 45.9% ( -2.38) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.79% ( 2.21) | 68.21% ( -2.21) |
Hearts Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.2% ( 1.03) | 20.79% ( -1.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.55% ( 1.59) | 53.45% ( -1.59) |
Ross County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.02% ( 1.48) | 27.98% ( -1.48) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.38% ( 1.84) | 63.62% ( -1.85) |
Score Analysis |
Hearts | Draw | Ross County |
2-1 @ 9.14% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 9.14% ( -0.65) 2-0 @ 7.18% ( -0.27) 3-1 @ 4.78% ( 0.16) 3-0 @ 3.76% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.05% ( 0.22) 4-1 @ 1.88% ( 0.12) 4-0 @ 1.48% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.2% ( 0.12) Other @ 2.7% Total : 44.29% | 1-1 @ 11.63% ( -0.33) 2-2 @ 5.82% ( 0.26) 0-0 @ 5.82% ( -0.61) 3-3 @ 1.29% ( 0.14) Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.74% | 0-1 @ 7.41% ( -0.45) 1-2 @ 7.41% ( 0.1) 0-2 @ 4.72% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 3.15% ( 0.17) 2-3 @ 2.47% ( 0.21) 0-3 @ 2% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 1% ( 0.09) Other @ 2.8% Total : 30.96% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 12 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 35 | 4 | 31 | 34 |
2 | Aberdeen | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 25 | 12 | 13 | 31 |
3 | RangersRangers | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 23 |
4 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 20 |
5 | Motherwell | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 19 |
6 | St Mirren | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 19 | 23 | -4 | 18 |
7 | Dundee | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 15 |
8 | Ross County | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 15 |
9 | St Johnstone | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 17 | 27 | -10 | 13 |
10 | Kilmarnock | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 12 |
11 | Hearts | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 9 |
12 | Hibernian | 13 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 8 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |