Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hibernian win with a probability of 45.93%. A win for Hearts had a probability of 31.01% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hibernian win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.24%) and 2-0 (6.43%). The likeliest Hearts win was 1-2 (7.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hibernian would win this match.