Scottish League Cup | Second Round

Aug 19, 2023 at 3pm UK

The Smisa Stadium

St Mirren
1 - 0
Motherwell

Boyd-Munce (9')
Mandron (80'), Dunne (90+3')

FT(HT: 1-0)

O'Donnell (53'), Mugabi (89'), McGinn (90+3')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish League Cup clash between St Mirren and Motherwell, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

St Mirren

All competitions

Scottish League Cup

Last Game: St Mirren 2-1 Dundee
Saturday, August 12 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Motherwell

All competitions

Scottish League Cup

Last Game: Motherwell 2-1 Hibernian
Sunday, August 13 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: St Mirren 2-1 Motherwell

Both teams have enjoyed a promising start to the 2023-24 season, and with the two sides brimming with confidence, we think that Saturday's encounter will be a closely-fought contest. St Mirren won their most recent home fixture against Motherwell in January, and we believe that they will utilise home advantage once again to secure their place in the quarter-finals. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motherwell win with a probability of 41.52%. A win for St Mirren had a probability of 32.77% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Motherwell win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.8%) and 0-2 (7.02%). The likeliest St Mirren win was 1-0 (8.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that St Mirren would win this match.

Result
St Mirren	Draw	Motherwell
32.77% ( -0.02)	25.7% ( -0.02)	41.52% ( 0.04)

Both teams to score 54.57% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.55% (

0.07)

49.45% (

-0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.51% (

0.06)

71.49% (

-0.06)

St Mirren Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.44% (

0.02)

28.56% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.65% (

0.02)

64.35% (

-0.02)

Motherwell Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.38% (

0.05)

23.62% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.3% (

0.08)

57.7% (

-0.08)

Score Analysis

St Mirren 32.77%

Motherwell 41.52%

Draw 25.69%

St Mirren	Draw	Motherwell
1-0 @ 8.45% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 7.64% ( -0) 2-0 @ 5.3% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.19% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.3% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.21% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1% ( 0) Other @ 2.67% Total : 32.77%	1-1 @ 12.19% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.74% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.52% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.11% ( 0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.69%	0-1 @ 9.73% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.8% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 7.02% ( 0) 1-3 @ 4.24% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 3.38% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.65% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.53% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.22% ( 0) 2-4 @ 0.96% ( 0) Other @ 1.99% Total : 41.52%