Scottish League Cup | Quarter-Finals

Sep 27, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Global Energy Stadium

Ross County
1 - 2
Aberdeen

Turner (83' pen.)
Murray (17'), Harmon (64'), Turner (71')
Baldwin (14')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Shinnie (8'), Sokler (80')
Barron (59'), Rubezic (84'), Sokler (88')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Scottish League Cup clash between Ross County and Aberdeen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ross County

All competitions

Scottish League Cup

Last Game: Aberdeen 4-0 Ross County
Sunday, September 24 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Top scorers

Aberdeen

All competitions

Scottish League Cup

Last Game: Aberdeen 4-0 Ross County
Sunday, September 24 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Ross County 1-3 Aberdeen

Ross County were on the receiving end of a heavy defeat away against Aberdeen at the weekend, with the hosts dominating the vast majority of the match. Given that the Staggies have home advantage on Wednesday, they may fare slightly better, but we expect the Dons to book their place in the semi-final. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ross County win with a probability of 38.76%. A win for Aberdeen had a probability of 37.1% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ross County win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.39%) and 2-0 (5.68%). The likeliest Aberdeen win was 1-2 (8.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Aberdeen would win this match.

Result
Ross County	Draw	Aberdeen
38.76% ( -0.41)	24.14% ( -0.09)	37.1% ( 0.49)

Both teams to score 60.93% (

0.37)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.43% (

0.46)

41.57% (

-0.47)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.03% (

0.47)

63.96% (

-0.47)

Ross County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.48% (

21.52% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.42% (

0.01)

54.58% (

-0.01)

Aberdeen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.64% (

0.46)

22.36% (

-0.47)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.14% (

0.69)

55.86% (

-0.7)

Score Analysis

Ross County 38.76%

Aberdeen 37.1%

Draw 24.14%

Ross County	Draw	Aberdeen
2-1 @ 8.5% ( -0.06) 1-0 @ 7.39% ( -0.16) 2-0 @ 5.68% ( -0.12) 3-1 @ 4.35% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 3.26% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 2.91% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 1.67% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.25% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.12% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.63% Total : 38.76%	1-1 @ 11.07% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 6.37% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 4.81% ( -0.1) 3-3 @ 1.63% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.26% Total : 24.14%	1-2 @ 8.29% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 7.21% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 5.4% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 4.14% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 3.18% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 2.7% ( 0.06) 1-4 @ 1.55% ( 0.05) 2-4 @ 1.19% ( 0.04) 0-4 @ 1.01% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.43% Total : 37.1%