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Scottish Premiership
Hearts logo
Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 5
Sep 16, 2023 at 3pm UK
Tynecastle Park
Aberdeen logo

Hearts
2 - 0
Aberdeen

Oda (14'), Boyce (64')
Haring (11'), Kent (30'), Boyce (32'), Atkinson (56')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Clarkson (25'), Rubezic (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Hearts and Aberdeen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hearts

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Hearts 0-1 Motherwell
Sunday, September 3 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Aberdeen

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Aberdeen 0-2 Hibernian
Sunday, September 3 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: Hearts 1-1 Aberdeen

 It would not be a surprise to see a home or indeed an away victory in this match, as both sides are better than what they have shown already this season. We are finding it difficult to back Aberdeen due to their away struggles against Hearts, though, and have instead settled on a low-scoring draw here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 39.87%. A win for Aberdeen had a probability of 34.91% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (6.43%). The likeliest Aberdeen win was 0-1 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.

Result
HeartsDrawAberdeen
39.87% (0.136 0.14) 25.21% (0.024000000000001 0.02) 34.91% (-0.163 -0.16)
Both teams to score 56.78% (-0.116 -0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.17% (-0.138 -0.14)46.83% (0.135 0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.91% (-0.129 -0.13)69.08% (0.126 0.13)
Hearts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.71% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)23.29% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.77% (0.010000000000005 0.01)57.22% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Aberdeen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.01% (-0.16 -0.16)25.98% (0.156 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.99% (-0.215 -0.21)61% (0.21100000000001 0.21)
Score Analysis
    Hearts 39.87%
    Aberdeen 34.91%
    Draw 25.21%
HeartsDrawAberdeen
1-0 @ 8.82% (0.052 0.05)
2-1 @ 8.66% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 6.43% (0.04 0.04)
3-1 @ 4.21% (0.008 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.12% (0.02 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.83% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.53% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.14% (0.008 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.03% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 39.87%
1-1 @ 11.88% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.05% (0.034 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.84% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.27% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.21%
0-1 @ 8.16% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.01% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
0-2 @ 5.5% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-3 @ 3.6% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.62% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.47% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.21% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 34.91%

How you voted: Hearts vs Aberdeen

Hearts
83.3%
Draw
16.7%
Aberdeen
0.0%
6
Head to Head
May 20, 2023 12.30pm
Gameweek 36
Hearts
2-1
Aberdeen
Ginnelly (43'), Shankland (56')
Devlin (25')
Pollock (31')
Hayes (11'), Robson (12'), Watkins (25'), Miovski (49'), Ramadani (53')
> Preview
Mar 18, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 29
Aberdeen
3-0
Hearts
Lopes (5', 21'), Pollock (28')
> Preview
Jan 18, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 22
Hearts
5-0
Aberdeen
Shinnie (15' og.), Smith (28'), Shankland (40' pen.), Ginnelly (45+1'), Devlin (61')
> Preview
Oct 16, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 11
Aberdeen
2-0
Hearts
Lopes (74'), Besuijen (79')
> Preview
Mar 2, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 29
Hearts
2-0
Aberdeen
Souttar (38'), Kingsley (60')
Devlin (67')

Brown (37')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Celtic1110103132831
2Aberdeen11101024101431
3RangersRangers11713168822
4Dundee UnitedDundee Utd125431813519
5Motherwell116141514119
6St Mirren134361722-515
7Dundee123361824-612
8Kilmarnock123361525-1012
9Ross County132651021-1112
10St Johnstone133191627-1110
11Hearts132381420-69
12Hibernian121561118-78
> Scottish Premiership Full Table


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