Scottish Premiership

Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 4

Sep 3, 2023 at 3pm UK

Tynecastle Park

Hearts
0 - 1
Motherwell

Devlin (71')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Slattery (29')
McGinn (36'), Casey (71'), Shaw (90')
McGinn (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Scottish Premiership clash between Hearts and Motherwell, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hearts

All competitions

Scottish Premiership

Last Game: PAOK 4-0 Hearts
Thursday, August 31 at 6.30pm in Europa Conference League

Goals
for

Motherwell

All competitions

Scottish Premiership

Last Game: Motherwell 2-1 Kilmarnock
Saturday, August 26 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Hearts 1-2 Motherwell

Hearts have had a mixed season so far, but the fact they head into this game on the back of a trio of losses is something that could be crucial when it comes to momentum. Motherwell have proven themselves resilient and difficult to defeat this season, and that is why they are likely to edge this one in what promises to be a close fixture. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motherwell win with a probability of 38.68%. A win for Hearts had a probability of 36.6% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Motherwell win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.06%) and 0-2 (5.96%). The likeliest Hearts win was 2-1 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.53%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Motherwell would win this match.

Result
Hearts	Draw	Motherwell
36.6% ( 0.95)	24.73% ( -0.05)	38.68% ( -0.9)

Both teams to score 58.73% (

0.3)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.61% (

0.34)

44.4% (

-0.34)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.24% (

0.33)

66.77% (

-0.33)

Hearts Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.1% (

0.68)

23.91% (

-0.68)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.88% (

0.96)

58.12% (

-0.96)

Motherwell Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.19% (

-0.3)

22.82% (

0.3)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.47% (

-0.44)

56.53% (

0.45)

Score Analysis

Hearts 36.6%

Motherwell 38.68%

Draw 24.72%

Hearts	Draw	Motherwell
2-1 @ 8.25% ( 0.13) 1-0 @ 7.81% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 5.59% ( 0.14) 3-1 @ 3.94% ( 0.14) 3-2 @ 2.91% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 2.66% ( 0.12) 4-1 @ 1.41% ( 0.08) 4-2 @ 1.04% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 0.95% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.04% Total : 36.6%	1-1 @ 11.53% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 6.1% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 5.46% ( -0.08) 3-3 @ 1.43% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.72%	1-2 @ 8.52% ( -0.11) 0-1 @ 8.06% ( -0.19) 0-2 @ 5.96% ( -0.2) 1-3 @ 4.2% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 3% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.93% ( -0.13) 1-4 @ 1.55% ( -0.05) 2-4 @ 1.11% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.08% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.26% Total : 38.68%