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Scottish Premiership
Hearts logo
Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 4
Sep 3, 2023 at 3pm UK
Tynecastle Park
Motherwell logo

Hearts
0 - 1
Motherwell


Devlin (71')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Slattery (29')
McGinn (36'), Casey (71'), Shaw (90')
McGinn (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Scottish Premiership clash between Hearts and Motherwell, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hearts

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last Game: PAOK 4-0 Hearts
Thursday, August 31 at 6.30pm in Europa Conference League

Motherwell

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Motherwell 2-1 Kilmarnock
Saturday, August 26 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: Hearts 1-2 Motherwell

 Hearts have had a mixed season so far, but the fact they head into this game on the back of a trio of losses is something that could be crucial when it comes to momentum. Motherwell have proven themselves resilient and difficult to defeat this season, and that is why they are likely to edge this one in what promises to be a close fixture. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motherwell win with a probability of 38.68%. A win for Hearts had a probability of 36.6% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Motherwell win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.06%) and 0-2 (5.96%). The likeliest Hearts win was 2-1 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.53%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Motherwell would win this match.

Result
HeartsDrawMotherwell
36.6% (0.952 0.95) 24.73% (-0.052 -0.05) 38.68% (-0.896 -0.9)
Both teams to score 58.73% (0.299 0.3)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.61% (0.343 0.34)44.4% (-0.337 -0.34)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.24% (0.331 0.33)66.77% (-0.32599999999999 -0.33)
Hearts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.1% (0.682 0.68)23.91% (-0.676 -0.68)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.88% (0.96100000000001 0.96)58.12% (-0.957 -0.96)
Motherwell Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.19% (-0.295 -0.3)22.82% (0.3 0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.47% (-0.444 -0.44)56.53% (0.45 0.45)
Score Analysis
    Hearts 36.6%
    Motherwell 38.68%
    Draw 24.72%
HeartsDrawMotherwell
2-1 @ 8.25% (0.13 0.13)
1-0 @ 7.81% (0.04 0.04)
2-0 @ 5.59% (0.137 0.14)
3-1 @ 3.94% (0.138 0.14)
3-2 @ 2.91% (0.076 0.08)
3-0 @ 2.66% (0.116 0.12)
4-1 @ 1.41% (0.075 0.08)
4-2 @ 1.04% (0.048 0.05)
4-0 @ 0.95% (0.059 0.06)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 36.6%
1-1 @ 11.53% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-2 @ 6.1% (0.042 0.04)
0-0 @ 5.46% (-0.08 -0.08)
3-3 @ 1.43% (0.025 0.03)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.72%
1-2 @ 8.52% (-0.11 -0.11)
0-1 @ 8.06% (-0.192 -0.19)
0-2 @ 5.96% (-0.197 -0.2)
1-3 @ 4.2% (-0.092 -0.09)
2-3 @ 3% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.93% (-0.125 -0.13)
1-4 @ 1.55% (-0.048 -0.05)
2-4 @ 1.11% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.08% (-0.056 -0.06)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 38.68%

How you voted: Hearts vs Motherwell

Hearts
50.0%
Draw
12.5%
Motherwell
37.5%
8
Head to Head
Feb 19, 2023 12pm
Gameweek 26
Motherwell
2-0
Hearts
Obika (40'), Spittal (46')
> Preview
Nov 6, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 14
Hearts
3-2
Motherwell
Halliday (45', 47'), Shankland (89' pen.)
Moult (61' pen.), Spittal (79')
> Preview
Sep 18, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 8
Motherwell
0-3
Hearts
Shankland (17'), Forrest (50', 90')
> Preview
May 11, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 4
Motherwell
2-1
Hearts
Efford (3'), Lamie (56')
Slattery (50')
Ginnelly (9')
> Preview
Jan 29, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 24
Hearts
2-0
Motherwell
Halliday (37'), Simms (58')
Haring (68')

Kelly (4'), Goss (80')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Celtic1110103132831
2Aberdeen11101024101431
3RangersRangers11713168822
4Dundee UnitedDundee Utd125431813519
5Motherwell116141514119
6St Mirren134361722-515
7Dundee123361824-612
8Kilmarnock123361525-1012
9Ross County132651021-1112
10St Johnstone133191627-1110
11Hearts132381420-69
12Hibernian121561118-78
> Scottish Premiership Full Table


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