Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 39.6%. A win for St Mirren had a probability of 34.12% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (6.84%). The likeliest St Mirren win was 0-1 (9.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Kilmarnock | Draw | St Mirren |
39.6% ( 0.13) | 26.28% ( 0.03) | 34.12% ( -0.16) |
Both teams to score 53.01% ( -0.14) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.39% ( -0.16) | 51.61% ( 0.16) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.6% ( -0.14) | 73.4% ( 0.14) |
Kilmarnock Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.42% ( -0) | 25.58% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.54% ( -0) | 60.46% ( 0) |
St Mirren Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.24% ( -0.18) | 28.76% ( 0.18) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.39% ( -0.23) | 64.61% ( 0.23) |
Score Analysis |
Kilmarnock | Draw | St Mirren |
1-0 @ 10.03% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 8.52% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.84% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 3.87% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.11% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.41% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.32% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.06% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.44% Total : 39.6% | 1-1 @ 12.5% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.36% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.31% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.28% | 0-1 @ 9.17% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.79% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 5.71% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 3.24% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 2.37% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.21% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.63% Total : 34.12% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 29 | 3 | 26 | 28 |
2 | Aberdeen | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 28 |
3 | RangersRangers | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 19 |
4 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 16 |
5 | Motherwell | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 16 |
6 | Dundee | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 12 |
7 | St Mirren | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 21 | -6 | 12 |
8 | Kilmarnock | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 12 |
9 | Ross County | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 12 |
10 | St Johnstone | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 10 |
11 | Hearts | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 9 |
12 | Hibernian | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 8 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |