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Hibs logo
Scottish League Cup | Quarter-Finals
Sep 27, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Easter Road Stadium
St Mirren logo

Hibernian
4 - 2
St Mirren

Youan (52'), Vente (54'), Boyle (80', 90+3')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Tanser (43'), Baccus (76')
McMenamin (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Scottish League Cup clash between Hibernian and St Mirren, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hibernian 2-0 St Johnstone
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: St Mirren 1-0 Hearts
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: Hibernian 1-3 St Mirren

Hibernian might be on a good run of form as of late, but they will not be the favourites in this game, particularly due to the poor defensive displays they have put on this season. St Mirren are enjoying an incredible start to the new season and with the quality that they have the Buddies should take the victory here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Mirren win with a probability of 38.96%. A win for Hibernian had a probability of 36.17% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Mirren win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.27%) and 0-2 (6.08%). The likeliest Hibernian win was 2-1 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.64%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.

Result
HibernianDrawSt Mirren
36.17% (0.128 0.13) 24.87% (0.039999999999999 0.04) 38.96% (-0.168 -0.17)
Both teams to score 58.16% (-0.131 -0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.89% (-0.175 -0.17)45.11% (0.175 0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.54% (-0.168 -0.17)67.46% (0.16800000000001 0.17)
Hibernian Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.53% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)24.47% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.08% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)58.91% (0.012 0.01)
St Mirren Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.01% (-0.16200000000001 -0.16)22.99% (0.162 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.21% (-0.24 -0.24)56.79% (0.23999999999999 0.24)
Score Analysis
    Hibernian 36.17%
    St Mirren 38.96%
    Draw 24.87%
HibernianDrawSt Mirren
2-1 @ 8.2% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
1-0 @ 7.92% (0.055999999999999 0.06)
2-0 @ 5.58% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
3-1 @ 3.85% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.83% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.62% (0.017 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.35% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1% (-0.003 -0)
4-0 @ 0.92% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 36.17%
1-1 @ 11.64% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-2 @ 6.02% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.63% (0.042 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.39% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.87%
1-2 @ 8.56% (-0.020999999999999 -0.02)
0-1 @ 8.27% (0.023 0.02)
0-2 @ 6.08% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.19% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
0-3 @ 2.98% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.95% (-0.022 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.54% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.1% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.09% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 38.96%

How you voted: Hibernian vs St Mirren

Hibernian
25.0%
Draw
16.7%
St Mirren
58.3%
12
Head to Head
Aug 6, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 1
Hibernian
2-3
St Mirren
Le Fondre (72'), Doidge (82')
Doyle-Hayes (35'), Doidge (48')
O'Hara (15' pen.), Olusanya (17'), Greive (89')
McMenamin (25'), Baccus (80')
May 6, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 34
Hibernian
2-1
St Mirren
Youan (4'), Fish (23')
Greive (64')
Feb 4, 2023 3pm
Oct 29, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 13
Hibernian
3-0
St Mirren
Boyle (45+4' pen.), Kukharevych (63'), Henderson (67')
Aug 27, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 5
St Mirren
1-0
Hibernian
Baccus (6')
Ayunga (33')

Newell (13'), Youan (15'), Hanlon (90+3')
rhs 2.0
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