Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hibernian win with a probability of 62.19%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for St Mirren had a probability of 15.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hibernian win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.35%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.53%), while for a St Mirren win it was 0-1 (5.79%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hibernian would win this match.
Result | ||
Hibernian | Draw | St Mirren |
62.19% ( 0.04) | 22.36% ( -0) | 15.46% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 45.2% ( -0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.01% ( -0.03) | 51.99% ( 0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.27% ( -0.02) | 73.73% ( 0.03) |
Hibernian Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.78% ( 0) | 16.22% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.27% ( 0.01) | 45.73% ( 0) |
St Mirren Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
53.95% ( -0.06) | 46.05% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.24% ( -0.05) | 81.76% ( 0.05) |
Score Analysis |
Hibernian | Draw | St Mirren |
1-0 @ 13.58% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 12.35% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.58% ( -0) 3-0 @ 7.49% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.81% ( -0) 4-0 @ 3.41% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.64% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.25% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.24% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.02% ( -0) 5-1 @ 0.96% Other @ 1.84% Total : 62.17% | 1-1 @ 10.53% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.47% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 3.72% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.64% Total : 22.35% | 0-1 @ 5.79% ( -0) 1-2 @ 4.09% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 2.25% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.06% ( -0) 2-3 @ 0.96% ( -0) Other @ 1.32% Total : 15.46% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 29 | 3 | 26 | 28 |
2 | Aberdeen | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 28 |
3 | RangersRangers | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 19 |
4 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 16 |
5 | Motherwell | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 16 |
6 | Dundee | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 12 |
7 | St Mirren | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 21 | -6 | 12 |
8 | Kilmarnock | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 12 |
9 | Ross County | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 12 |
10 | St Johnstone | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 10 |
11 | Hearts | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 9 |
12 | Hibernian | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 8 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |