Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 9
Oct 21, 2023 at 3pm UK
Rugby Park
Kilmarnock3 - 1Livingston
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Celtic 3-1 Kilmarnock
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Livingston 2-0 Motherwell
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
We said: Kilmarnock 1-2 Livingston
Kilmarnock will be confident that they can find the back of the net in this game against a team that has looked defensively susceptible at times. However, Livingston have looked the stronger team throughout the season, and that in itself should lead to them taking all three points. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 48.51%. A win for Livingston had a probability of 25.77% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.29%) and 2-0 (8.98%). The likeliest Livingston win was 0-1 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kilmarnock would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Kilmarnock | Draw | Livingston |
48.51% ( -0.06) | 25.72% ( 0.02) | 25.77% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 50.38% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.05% ( -0.06) | 52.95% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.44% ( -0.05) | 74.55% ( 0.06) |
| Kilmarnock Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.15% ( -0.05) | 21.84% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 44.93% ( -0.08) | 55.07% ( 0.08) |
| Livingston Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.46% ( -0) | 35.53% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 27.7% ( -0) | 72.3% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
Kilmarnock 48.5%
Livingston 25.77%
Draw 25.71%
| Kilmarnock | Draw | Livingston |
| 1-0 @ 11.8% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.29% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 8.98% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.71% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.56% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.44% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.79% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.73% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 0.93% ( -0)Other @ 2.27% Total : 48.5% | 1-1 @ 12.21% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.76% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 4.81% ( -0)Other @ 0.93% Total : 25.71% | 0-1 @ 8.03% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 6.32% ( 0)0-2 @ 4.16% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.18% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.66% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.43% ( 0)Other @ 2% Total : 25.77% |
How you voted: Kilmarnock vs Livingston
Kilmarnock
16.7%Draw
33.3%Livingston
50.0%6
Head to Head
Feb 4, 2023 3pm
Nov 4, 2022 7.45pm
Sep 17, 2022 3pm
Form Guide
