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Scottish Premiership
Hearts logo
Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 23
Jan 27, 2024 at 3pm UK
Tynecastle Park
Aberdeen logo

Hearts
2 - 0
Aberdeen

Grant (57' pen.), Shankland (77')
Oda (68')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Shinnie (31'), Lopes (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Hearts and Aberdeen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hearts

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Hearts 3-2 Dundee
Tuesday, January 23 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership

Aberdeen

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last Game: St Johnstone 1-1 Aberdeen
Wednesday, January 24 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: Hearts 2-1 Aberdeen

 Naismith will see the upcoming games as a perfect opportunity to extend their gap over fourth even further, with no meetings against the Old Firm for another month. Aberdeen have shown promising signs themselves of late, but they may find it difficult against the most in-form team in the Scottish Premiership here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 47.08%. A win for Aberdeen had a probability of 28.87% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.91%) and 2-0 (7.45%). The likeliest Aberdeen win was 1-2 (7.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.

Result
HeartsDrawAberdeen
47.08% (-0.012 -0.01) 24.05% (0.0030000000000001 0) 28.87% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Both teams to score 58.18% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.15% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)43.84% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.76% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)66.23% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Hearts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.22% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)18.77% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.82% (-0.012 -0.01)50.18% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Aberdeen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.63% (0.00099999999999056 0)28.37% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.89% (0.0010000000000048 0)64.11% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Score Analysis
    Hearts 47.08%
    Aberdeen 28.87%
    Draw 24.04%
HeartsDrawAberdeen
2-1 @ 9.39% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 8.91% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 7.45% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 5.23% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 4.15% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 3.3% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 2.19% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 1.74% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.38% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 47.08%
1-1 @ 11.22%
2-2 @ 5.91%
0-0 @ 5.33% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.39%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.04%
1-2 @ 7.07% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-1 @ 6.71% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 4.23% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-3 @ 2.97%
2-3 @ 2.48%
0-3 @ 1.78%
1-4 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 28.87%

How you voted: Hearts vs Aberdeen

Hearts
86.2%
Draw
6.9%
Aberdeen
6.9%
29
Head to Head
Dec 9, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 17
Aberdeen
2-1
Hearts
Miovski (53'), Clarkson (90+2')
Gartenmann (59'), Miovski (65'), McGrath (78')
Shankland (20')
Nieuwenhof (33'), Lowry (41'), Baningime (64'), Kent (65'), Rowles (73'), Denholm (88'), Shankland (90+5')
> Preview
Sep 16, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 5
Hearts
2-0
Aberdeen
Oda (14'), Boyce (64')
Haring (11'), Kent (30'), Boyce (32'), Atkinson (56')

Clarkson (25'), Rubezic (61')
> Preview
May 20, 2023 12.30pm
Gameweek 36
Hearts
2-1
Aberdeen
Ginnelly (43'), Shankland (56')
Devlin (25')
Pollock (31')
Hayes (11'), Robson (12'), Watkins (25'), Miovski (49'), Ramadani (53')
> Preview
Mar 18, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 29
Aberdeen
3-0
Hearts
Lopes (5', 21'), Pollock (28')
> Preview
Jan 18, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 22
Hearts
5-0
Aberdeen
Shinnie (15' og.), Smith (28'), Shankland (40' pen.), Ginnelly (45+1'), Devlin (61')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Celtic1110103132831
2Aberdeen11101024101431
3RangersRangers11713168822
4Dundee UnitedDundee Utd125431813519
5Motherwell116141514119
6St Mirren134361722-515
7Dundee123361824-612
8Kilmarnock123361525-1012
9Ross County132651021-1112
10St Johnstone133191627-1110
11Hearts132381420-69
12Hibernian121561118-78
> Scottish Premiership Full Table


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