Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 38.02%. A win for Aberdeen had a probability of 36.18% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.39%) and 0-2 (6.3%). The likeliest Aberdeen win was 1-0 (8.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Aberdeen | Draw | Hearts |
36.18% ( -0.16) | 25.8% ( -0.05) | 38.02% ( 0.21) |
Both teams to score 54.9% ( 0.16) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.69% ( 0.21) | 49.31% ( -0.21) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.63% ( 0.19) | 71.36% ( -0.19) |
Aberdeen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.58% ( 0.01) | 26.42% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.41% ( 0.01) | 61.58% ( -0.01) |
Hearts Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.61% ( 0.21) | 25.38% ( -0.21) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.81% ( 0.29) | 60.19% ( -0.29) |
Score Analysis |
Aberdeen | Draw | Hearts |
1-0 @ 8.93% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 8.15% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 5.94% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 3.61% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.64% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.48% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.2% ( -0) Other @ 3.24% Total : 36.18% | 1-1 @ 12.23% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.71% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 5.58% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.13% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.79% | 0-1 @ 9.19% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 8.39% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 6.3% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 3.83% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 2.88% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.55% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 1.31% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 0.99% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.56% Total : 38.02% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 11 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 31 | 3 | 28 | 31 |
2 | Aberdeen | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 25 | 12 | 13 | 31 |
3 | RangersRangers | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 23 |
4 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 20 |
5 | Motherwell | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 19 |
6 | St Mirren | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 19 | 23 | -4 | 18 |
7 | Dundee | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 15 |
8 | Ross County | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 15 |
9 | St Johnstone | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 17 | 27 | -10 | 13 |
10 | Kilmarnock | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 12 |
11 | Hearts | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 9 |
12 | Hibernian | 13 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 8 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |