Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motherwell win with a probability of 40.87%. A win for Hearts had a probability of 33.28% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Motherwell win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.72%) and 2-0 (6.94%). The likeliest Hearts win was 0-1 (8.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.
Result | ||
Motherwell | Draw | Hearts |
40.87% ( -0.07) | 25.85% ( 0.02) | 33.28% ( 0.05) |
Both teams to score 54.22% ( -0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.04% ( -0.08) | 49.96% ( 0.07) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.05% ( -0.07) | 71.94% ( 0.06) |
Motherwell Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.82% ( -0.07) | 24.18% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.5% ( -0.1) | 58.5% ( 0.1) |
Hearts Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.51% ( -0.01) | 28.48% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.74% ( -0.01) | 64.26% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Motherwell | Draw | Hearts |
1-0 @ 9.78% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.72% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.94% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.13% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.29% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.59% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.47% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.17% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 0.92% ( -0) Other @ 1.88% Total : 40.87% | 1-1 @ 12.27% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.89% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.47% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.08% ( -0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.84% | 0-1 @ 8.65% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 7.71% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.43% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.23% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.29% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.27% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.69% Total : 33.28% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 11 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 31 | 3 | 28 | 31 |
2 | Aberdeen | 11 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 24 | 10 | 14 | 31 |
3 | RangersRangers | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 22 |
4 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 19 |
5 | Motherwell | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 19 |
6 | St Mirren | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 15 |
7 | Dundee | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 18 | 24 | -6 | 12 |
8 | Kilmarnock | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 12 |
9 | Ross County | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 21 | -11 | 12 |
10 | St Johnstone | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 10 |
11 | Hearts | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 9 |
12 | Hibernian | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 8 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |