MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 15:17:31| >> :300:86500:86500:
Aberdeen logo
Celtic logo
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Ross County
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St Mirren logo
Kilmarnock logo
Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 12
Nov 4, 2023 at 3pm UK
Rugby Park
Motherwell logo

Kilmarnock
1 - 0
Motherwell

Cameron (49')
Watson (38'), Lyons (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Casey (32')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Kilmarnock and Motherwell, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: St Johnstone 2-1 Kilmarnock
Wednesday, November 1 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Motherwell 2-4 Aberdeen
Wednesday, November 1 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: Kilmarnock 2-1 Motherwell

Having only suffered one league defeat at home so far, as well as recording famous wins over both Celtic and Rangers, Kilmarnock will be confident they can get back on track here. Motherwell are in disarray after a dreadful run of form, and the midweek performance against Aberdeen suggests they are still going backwards. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 46.09%. A win for Motherwell had a probability of 27.61% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.06%) and 2-0 (8.54%). The likeliest Motherwell win was 0-1 (8.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Kilmarnock in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Kilmarnock.

Result
KilmarnockDrawMotherwell
46.09% (-0.035999999999994 -0.04) 26.3% (0.012999999999998 0.01) 27.61% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 50.09% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.96% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)54.03% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.53% (-0.032 -0.03)75.47% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Kilmarnock Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.59% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)23.4% (0.034000000000002 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.61% (-0.050000000000004 -0.05)57.39% (0.050999999999995 0.05)
Motherwell Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.39%34.6% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.67% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)71.32% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Score Analysis
    Kilmarnock 46.09%
    Motherwell 27.61%
    Draw 26.3%
KilmarnockDrawMotherwell
1-0 @ 11.76% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.06% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
2-0 @ 8.54% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
3-1 @ 4.39% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.13% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.33% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 1.59% (-0.004 -0)
4-0 @ 1.5% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 46.09%
1-1 @ 12.48% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.1% (0.012 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.81% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 26.3%
0-1 @ 8.59% (0.013 0.01)
1-2 @ 6.62% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 4.56% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.34% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.7% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 1.61% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 27.61%

How you voted: Kilmarnock vs Motherwell

Kilmarnock
87.5%
Draw
12.5%
Motherwell
0.0%
8
Head to Head
Aug 26, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 3
Motherwell
2-1
Kilmarnock
Casey (59'), Paton (90+8')
O'Donnell (43'), Spencer (52'), Slattery (57'), Paton (66'), Casey (71'), McGinn (90+2')
Watkins (12')
Watkins (32'), Deas (66'), Watson (73')
May 6, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 34
Motherwell
2-0
Kilmarnock
Spittal (4'), Van Veen (90+1')
Feb 25, 2023 3pm
Dec 23, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 18
Motherwell
2-2
Kilmarnock
Van Veen (22'), Slattery (60')
McGinn (73' og.), Polworth (75')
Aug 27, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 5
Kilmarnock
2-1
Motherwell
Armstrong (71'), Taylor (76')
Armstrong (83'), Power (90+4')
Van Veen (14')
O'Donnell (19')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Celtic1110103132831
2Aberdeen11101024101431
3RangersRangers11713168822
4Dundee UnitedDundee Utd125431813519
5Motherwell116141514119
6St Mirren134361722-515
7Dundee123361824-612
8Kilmarnock123361525-1012
9Ross County132651021-1112
10St Johnstone133191627-1110
11Hearts132381420-69
12Hibernian121561118-78


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