Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberdeen win with a probability of 43.26%. A win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 31.06% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aberdeen win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.97%) and 2-0 (7.44%). The likeliest Kilmarnock win was 0-1 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Aberdeen | Draw | Kilmarnock |
43.26% ( 0.03) | 25.68% ( -0.01) | 31.06% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 53.97% ( 0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.07% ( 0.05) | 49.93% ( -0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.08% ( 0.05) | 71.91% ( -0.04) |
Aberdeen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.02% ( 0.04) | 22.98% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.23% ( 0.05) | 56.76% ( -0.05) |
Kilmarnock Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.07% ( 0.02) | 29.93% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.96% ( 0.02) | 66.04% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Aberdeen | Draw | Kilmarnock |
1-0 @ 10.11% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.97% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.44% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.4% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.65% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.65% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.62% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.34% ( 0) 4-2 @ 0.98% ( 0) Other @ 2.11% Total : 43.26% | 1-1 @ 12.2% 0-0 @ 6.88% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.41% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.07% ( 0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.68% | 0-1 @ 8.3% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.36% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.96% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.18% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.01% ( -0) Other @ 3.26% Total : 31.06% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 29 | 3 | 26 | 28 |
2 | Aberdeen | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 28 |
3 | RangersRangers | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 19 |
4 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 16 |
5 | Motherwell | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 16 |
6 | Dundee | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 12 |
7 | St Mirren | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 21 | -6 | 12 |
8 | Kilmarnock | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 12 |
9 | Ross County | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 12 |
10 | St Johnstone | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 10 |
11 | Hearts | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 9 |
12 | Hibernian | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 8 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |