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Scottish Premiership
Aberdeen logo
Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 16
Dec 6, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Pittodrie Stadium
Kilmarnock logo

Aberdeen
0 - 1
Kilmarnock


Shinnie (45'), Hayes (65'), Gartenmann (82')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Watson (90+2')
McKenzie (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Scottish Premiership clash between Aberdeen and Kilmarnock, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Aberdeen

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Hibernian 2-0 Aberdeen
Sunday, December 3 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Kilmarnock

All competitions
Last Game: Kilmarnock 0-1 Hearts
Saturday, December 2 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: Aberdeen 2-1 Kilmarnock

 Despite failing to win in their last five matches, Aberdeen have produced decent displays against Rangers and Helsinki during the past fortnight, so the Dons should be confident of collecting the points on Wednesday. Kilmarnock are notoriously poor on their Premiership travels, meaning we are predicting McInnes's return to Pittodrie to be an unhappy one for those of a Killie persuasion. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberdeen win with a probability of 43.26%. A win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 31.06% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aberdeen win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.97%) and 2-0 (7.44%). The likeliest Kilmarnock win was 0-1 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.

Result
AberdeenDrawKilmarnock
43.26% (0.030000000000001 0.03) 25.68% (-0.012 -0.01) 31.06% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
Both teams to score 53.97% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.07% (0.049999999999997 0.05)49.93% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.08% (0.045999999999999 0.05)71.91% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)
Aberdeen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.02% (0.036999999999992 0.04)22.98% (-0.032 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.23% (0.053000000000004 0.05)56.76% (-0.050000000000004 -0.05)
Kilmarnock Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.07% (0.015000000000001 0.02)29.93% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.96% (0.017000000000003 0.02)66.04% (-0.012 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Aberdeen 43.26%
    Kilmarnock 31.06%
    Draw 25.68%
AberdeenDrawKilmarnock
1-0 @ 10.11% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.97% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-0 @ 7.44% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 4.4% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.65% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 2.65% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 1.62% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 1.34% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 0.98% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 43.26%
1-1 @ 12.2%
0-0 @ 6.88% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.41% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-3 @ 1.07% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.68%
0-1 @ 8.3% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.36% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-2 @ 5% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.96% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.18% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 2.01% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.26%
Total : 31.06%

How you voted: Aberdeen vs Kilmarnock

Aberdeen
58.8%
Draw
23.5%
Kilmarnock
17.6%
17
Head to Head
Oct 29, 2023 12pm
Gameweek 10
Kilmarnock
2-0
Aberdeen
Vassell (45+5'), Watkins (64')
Lyons (85')

Gartenmann (45+1'), Shinnie (45+3'), Sokler (89')
> Preview
Apr 8, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 31
Aberdeen
2-0
Kilmarnock
Lopes (1', 59')
> Preview
Dec 28, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 19
Kilmarnock
2-1
Aberdeen
Robinson (31'), Wright (42')
Kennedy (90+1')
> Preview
Oct 1, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 9
Aberdeen
4-1
Kilmarnock
Besuijen (22'), Miovski (24' pen., 45'), Stewart (63')
Taylor (27')
> Preview
Feb 20, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 33
Aberdeen
1-0
Kilmarnock
Hendry (21')
McGinn (51')

Dabo (40'), McGowan (62')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Celtic1110103132831
2Aberdeen11101024101431
3RangersRangers11713168822
4Dundee UnitedDundee Utd125431813519
5Motherwell116141514119
6St Mirren134361722-515
7Dundee123361824-612
8Kilmarnock123361525-1012
9Ross County132651021-1112
10St Johnstone133191627-1110
11Hearts132381420-69
12Hibernian121561118-78
> Scottish Premiership Full Table


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