Scottish League Cup | Semi-Finals

Nov 4, 2023 at 5.15pm UK

Easter Road Stadium

Hibernian
0 - 1
Aberdeen

Tavares (28'), Obita (71')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Miovski (78')
Jensen (34'), MacKenzie (61'), Miovski (84'), Shinnie (88')
MacKenzie (75')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish League Cup clash between Hibernian and Aberdeen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hibernian

All competitions

Scottish League Cup

Last Game: Hibernian 2-2 Ross County
Tuesday, October 31 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Top scorers

Aberdeen

All competitions

Scottish League Cup

Last Game: Motherwell 2-4 Aberdeen
Wednesday, November 1 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Hibernian 1-0 Aberdeen

Hibernian need to recover quickly after an emotionally-draining collapse against Ross County last time out, and the reintroduction of many of their star players should be a massive boost. Aberdeen have been afforded just two days to prepare for this semi-final clash after a trip to Motherwell on Wednesday, and we believe the Reds will fall narrowly short at Hampden in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hibernian win with a probability of 44.51%. A win for Aberdeen had a probability of 31.66% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hibernian win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.97%) and 2-0 (6.65%). The likeliest Aberdeen win was 1-2 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.

Result
Hibernian	Draw	Aberdeen
44.51% ( -1.91)	23.83% ( 0.43)	31.66% ( 1.49)

Both teams to score 60.6% (

-0.74)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.61% (

-1.31)

41.38% (

1.31)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.22% (

-1.35)

63.78% (

1.35)

Hibernian Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.14% (

-1.29)

18.85% (

1.29)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.69% (

-2.2)

50.31% (

2.21)

Aberdeen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.68% (

0.28)

25.32% (

-0.28)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.9% (

0.38)

60.1% (

-0.38)

Score Analysis

Hibernian 44.51%

Aberdeen 31.66%

Draw 23.83%

Hibernian	Draw	Aberdeen
2-1 @ 9.13% ( -0.14) 1-0 @ 7.97% ( 0.15) 2-0 @ 6.65% ( -0.16) 3-1 @ 5.08% ( -0.3) 3-0 @ 3.7% ( -0.25) 3-2 @ 3.49% ( -0.18) 4-1 @ 2.12% ( -0.22) 4-0 @ 1.54% ( -0.17) 4-2 @ 1.45% ( -0.14) Other @ 3.4% Total : 44.51%	1-1 @ 10.94% ( 0.29) 2-2 @ 6.27% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 4.77% ( 0.28) 3-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.25% Total : 23.83%	1-2 @ 7.51% ( 0.25) 0-1 @ 6.56% ( 0.43) 0-2 @ 4.5% ( 0.33) 1-3 @ 3.44% ( 0.14) 2-3 @ 2.87% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.06% ( 0.17) 1-4 @ 1.18% ( 0.06) 2-4 @ 0.99% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.55% Total : 31.66%