Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberdeen win with a probability of 44.64%. A win for St Johnstone had a probability of 29.9% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aberdeen win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.12%) and 0-2 (7.68%). The likeliest St Johnstone win was 1-0 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
St Johnstone | Draw | Aberdeen |
29.9% ( 0.27) | 25.46% ( -0.05) | 44.64% ( -0.21) |
Both teams to score 54.09% ( 0.31) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.5% ( 0.34) | 49.5% ( -0.33) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.46% ( 0.3) | 71.54% ( -0.3) |
St Johnstone Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.48% ( 0.37) | 30.52% ( -0.36) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.26% ( 0.43) | 66.74% ( -0.42) |
Aberdeen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.86% ( 0.05) | 22.14% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.47% ( 0.07) | 55.53% ( -0.06) |
Score Analysis |
St Johnstone | Draw | Aberdeen |
1-0 @ 8.02% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 7.18% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 4.76% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 2.84% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 2.14% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 1.88% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.09% Total : 29.9% | 1-1 @ 12.09% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.76% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 5.41% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 1.08% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.46% | 0-1 @ 10.19% ( -0.12) 1-2 @ 9.12% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 7.68% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 4.58% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3.86% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.72% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 1.73% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.46% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.02% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.29% Total : 44.64% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 11 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 31 | 3 | 28 | 31 |
2 | Aberdeen | 11 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 24 | 10 | 14 | 31 |
3 | RangersRangers | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 22 |
4 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 19 |
5 | Motherwell | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 19 |
6 | St Mirren | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 15 |
7 | Dundee | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 18 | 24 | -6 | 12 |
8 | Kilmarnock | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 12 |
9 | Ross County | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 21 | -11 | 12 |
10 | St Johnstone | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 10 |
11 | Hearts | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 9 |
12 | Hibernian | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 8 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |