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Celtic logo
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Ross County
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St Mirren logo
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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 19
Dec 23, 2023 at 3pm UK
Rugby Park
St Johnstone logo

Kilmarnock
2 - 1
St Johnstone

Watson (6'), Watkins (17')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Clark (61')
Mitov (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Kilmarnock and St Johnstone, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Livingston 0-0 Kilmarnock
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Rangers 2-0 St Johnstone
Wednesday, December 20 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: Kilmarnock 2-0 St Johnstone

Kilmarnock are in a brilliant run of form at the moment, and that is something that should continue this weekend against a team near the bottom of the division. The defensive qualities of the hosts is likely going to be too much for St Johnstone to crack, which will likely be the critical aspect of this game. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 52.12%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for St Johnstone had a probability of 23.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.7%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.81%), while for a St Johnstone win it was 0-1 (7.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Kilmarnock would win this match.

Result
KilmarnockDrawSt Johnstone
52.12% (-0.834 -0.83) 24.87% (0.099 0.1) 23.02% (0.735 0.73)
Both teams to score 50.13% (0.589 0.59)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.1% (0.33199999999999 0.33)51.9% (-0.333 -0.33)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.35% (0.289 0.29)73.65% (-0.289 -0.29)
Kilmarnock Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.1% (-0.20399999999999 -0.2)19.9% (0.204 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.98% (-0.331 -0.33)52.02% (0.33 0.33)
St Johnstone Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.59% (0.891 0.89)37.41% (-0.892 -0.89)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.8% (0.866 0.87)74.2% (-0.86500000000001 -0.87)
Score Analysis
    Kilmarnock 52.11%
    St Johnstone 23.02%
    Draw 24.86%
KilmarnockDrawSt Johnstone
1-0 @ 12.01% (-0.24 -0.24)
2-0 @ 9.7% (-0.256 -0.26)
2-1 @ 9.54% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-0 @ 5.22% (-0.172 -0.17)
3-1 @ 5.13% (-0.042 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.52% (0.041 0.04)
4-0 @ 2.11% (-0.083 -0.08)
4-1 @ 2.07% (-0.03 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.02% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 52.11%
1-1 @ 11.81% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 7.44% (-0.099 -0.1)
2-2 @ 4.69% (0.105 0.11)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 24.86%
0-1 @ 7.32% (0.08 0.08)
1-2 @ 5.81% (0.165 0.17)
0-2 @ 3.6% (0.125 0.13)
1-3 @ 1.9% (0.099 0.1)
2-3 @ 1.54% (0.07 0.07)
0-3 @ 1.18% (0.068 0.07)
Other @ 1.67%
Total : 23.02%

Head to Head
Nov 1, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
St Johnstone
2-1
Kilmarnock
Clark (1', 7')
Kane (75'), Mitov (88')
Costelloe (76')
Vassell (47')
Wright (58'), Watson (66')
May 20, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 36
Kilmarnock
0-1
St Johnstone

Doidge (47')
Watson (44')
Gordon (11')
Ballantyne (29'), Montgomery (71'), Matthews (72')
Mar 18, 2023 3pm
Oct 29, 2022 3pm
Oct 5, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 7
Kilmarnock
2-1
St Johnstone
Armstrong (11', 46')
Bair (90+1')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Celtic55001401415
2Aberdeen5500103715
3RangersRangers531194510
4Dundee UnitedDundee Utd52216428
5St Mirren62221011-18
6Motherwell52127617
7Dundee51319906
8Ross County6132611-56
9Hibernian512258-35
10St Johnstone6114811-34
11Kilmarnock5023312-92
12Hearts6015311-81


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