Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 52.12%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for St Johnstone had a probability of 23.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.7%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.81%), while for a St Johnstone win it was 0-1 (7.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Kilmarnock would win this match.
Result | ||
Kilmarnock | Draw | St Johnstone |
52.12% ( -0.83) | 24.87% ( 0.1) | 23.02% ( 0.73) |
Both teams to score 50.13% ( 0.59) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.1% ( 0.33) | 51.9% ( -0.33) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.35% ( 0.29) | 73.65% ( -0.29) |
Kilmarnock Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.1% ( -0.2) | 19.9% ( 0.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.98% ( -0.33) | 52.02% ( 0.33) |
St Johnstone Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.59% ( 0.89) | 37.41% ( -0.89) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.8% ( 0.87) | 74.2% ( -0.87) |
Score Analysis |
Kilmarnock | Draw | St Johnstone |
1-0 @ 12.01% ( -0.24) 2-0 @ 9.7% ( -0.26) 2-1 @ 9.54% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 5.22% ( -0.17) 3-1 @ 5.13% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.52% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 2.11% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 2.07% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.02% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.78% Total : 52.11% | 1-1 @ 11.81% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 7.44% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 4.69% ( 0.11) Other @ 0.91% Total : 24.86% | 0-1 @ 7.32% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 5.81% ( 0.17) 0-2 @ 3.6% ( 0.13) 1-3 @ 1.9% ( 0.1) 2-3 @ 1.54% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 1.18% ( 0.07) Other @ 1.67% Total : 23.02% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 29 | 3 | 26 | 28 |
2 | Aberdeen | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 28 |
3 | RangersRangers | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 19 |
4 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 16 |
5 | Motherwell | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 16 |
6 | Dundee | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 12 |
7 | St Mirren | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 21 | -6 | 12 |
8 | Kilmarnock | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 12 |
9 | Ross County | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 12 |
10 | St Johnstone | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 10 |
11 | Hearts | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 9 |
12 | Hibernian | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 8 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |