Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motherwell win with a probability of 47.32%. A win for St Johnstone had a probability of 27.25% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Motherwell win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (8.43%). The likeliest St Johnstone win was 0-1 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Motherwell | Draw | St Johnstone |
47.32% ( -0.01) | 25.43% ( 0.01) | 27.25% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 52.44% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.16% ( -0.03) | 50.84% ( 0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.28% ( -0.03) | 72.72% ( 0.03) |
Motherwell Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.51% ( -0.02) | 21.49% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.46% ( -0.02) | 54.54% ( 0.02) |
St Johnstone Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.8% ( -0.02) | 33.2% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.2% ( -0.02) | 69.8% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Motherwell | Draw | St Johnstone |
1-0 @ 10.96% 2-1 @ 9.3% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.43% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.77% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.32% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.63% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.83% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.66% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.01% ( -0) Other @ 2.4% Total : 47.31% | 1-1 @ 12.09% 0-0 @ 7.14% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.13% ( -0) 3-3 @ 0.97% ( -0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.43% | 0-1 @ 7.87% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.67% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.34% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.45% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.89% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.6% Other @ 2.44% Total : 27.25% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 11 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 31 | 3 | 28 | 31 |
2 | Aberdeen | 11 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 24 | 10 | 14 | 31 |
3 | RangersRangers | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 22 |
4 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 19 |
5 | Motherwell | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 19 |
6 | St Mirren | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 15 |
7 | Dundee | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 18 | 24 | -6 | 12 |
8 | Kilmarnock | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 12 |
9 | Ross County | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 21 | -11 | 12 |
10 | St Johnstone | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 10 |
11 | Hearts | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 9 |
12 | Hibernian | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 8 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |