Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee win with a probability of 41.41%. A win for Motherwell had a probability of 31.79% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundee win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.62%) and 0-2 (7.48%). The likeliest Motherwell win was 1-0 (9.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Motherwell | Draw | Dundee |
31.79% ( -0.22) | 26.8% ( -0.15) | 41.41% ( 0.37) |
Both teams to score 50.72% ( 0.38) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.75% ( 0.51) | 54.25% ( -0.51) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.35% ( 0.43) | 75.65% ( -0.42) |
Motherwell Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.38% ( 0.11) | 31.62% ( -0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.97% ( 0.13) | 68.03% ( -0.13) |
Dundee Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.17% ( 0.43) | 25.83% ( -0.43) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.21% ( 0.58) | 60.79% ( -0.58) |
Score Analysis |
Motherwell | Draw | Dundee |
1-0 @ 9.4% ( -0.16) 2-1 @ 7.33% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 5.41% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 2.81% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.08% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.9% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.85% Total : 31.79% | 1-1 @ 12.72% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 8.17% ( -0.16) 2-2 @ 4.96% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.95% Total : 26.8% | 0-1 @ 11.05% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 8.62% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 7.48% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 3.89% ( 0.08) 0-3 @ 3.38% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 2.24% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 1.32% ( 0.04) 0-4 @ 1.14% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.29% Total : 41.4% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 12 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 35 | 4 | 31 | 34 |
2 | Aberdeen | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 25 | 12 | 13 | 31 |
3 | RangersRangers | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 23 |
4 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 20 |
5 | Motherwell | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 19 |
6 | St Mirren | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 19 | 23 | -4 | 18 |
7 | Dundee | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 15 |
8 | Ross County | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 15 |
9 | St Johnstone | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 17 | 27 | -10 | 13 |
10 | Kilmarnock | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 12 |
11 | Hearts | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 9 |
12 | Hibernian | 13 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 8 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |