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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 21
Dec 16, 2023 at 3pm UK
McDiarmid Park
Hibs logo

St Johnstone
1 - 0
Hibernian

Carey (57')
Kucheriavyi (6'), Franczak (46')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Miller (22'), Bushiri (85'), Vente (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between St Johnstone and Hibernian, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Motherwell 1-1 St Johnstone
Saturday, December 9 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Livingston 0-1 Hibernian
Saturday, December 9 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: St Johnstone 1-2 Hibernian

Although St Johnstone have proven to be a tough team to beat in recent home games, their recent head-to-head record suggests that this could be a difficult fixture. Hibernian have won five of their last eight meetings (D2, L1) with Saturday's opponents, and we think that they will continue that impressive run of results by claiming a narrow win this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hibernian win with a probability of 41.19%. A win for St Johnstone had a probability of 31.73% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hibernian win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.54%) and 0-2 (7.54%). The likeliest St Johnstone win was 1-0 (9.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.

Result
St JohnstoneDrawHibernian
31.73% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07) 27.08% (-0.004999999999999 -0) 41.19% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
Both teams to score 49.87% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.67% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)55.33%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.46%76.54% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
St Johnstone Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.79% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)32.21% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.3% (-0.055 -0.05)68.7% (0.054000000000002 0.05)
Hibernian Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.56% (0.039000000000001 0.04)26.44% (-0.041 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.39% (0.053000000000004 0.05)61.61% (-0.053999999999995 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    St Johnstone 31.73%
    Hibernian 41.18%
    Draw 27.07%
St JohnstoneDrawHibernian
1-0 @ 9.65% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-1 @ 7.27% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.46% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.75% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.06% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.83% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 31.73%
1-1 @ 12.83%
0-0 @ 8.52%
2-2 @ 4.84% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 27.07%
0-1 @ 11.32% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.54% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
0-2 @ 7.54% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.79% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.34% (0.011 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.15% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-4 @ 1.26% (0.004 0)
0-4 @ 1.11% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 41.18%

How you voted: St Johnstone vs Hibernian

St Johnstone
20.0%
Draw
40.0%
Hibernian
40.0%
5
Head to Head
Sep 23, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 6
Hibernian
2-0
St Johnstone
Miller (35'), Vente (69')
Bushiri (51')

Robinson (20'), May (51'), Phillips (90')
Apr 22, 2023 3pm
Oct 21, 2022 7.30pm
Gameweek 12
Hibernian
1-2
St Johnstone
Clark (73'), May (82')
Jul 30, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 1
St Johnstone
0-1
Hibernian

Wright (55'), MacPherson (89')
Davidson (58')
Campbell (90')
Melkersen (29'), Henderson (71'), Cabraja (81'), Bushiri (90+4')
May 15, 2022 12pm
Gameweek 5
Hibernian
4-0
St Johnstone
McGinn (44'), Scott (48', 61', 88')
McGregor (54')

Rooney (55'), Gilmour (58')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Celtic1110103132831
2Aberdeen11101024101431
3RangersRangers10613158719
4Dundee UnitedDundee Utd125431813519
5Motherwell116141514119
6St Mirren134361722-515
7Dundee123361824-612
8Kilmarnock123361525-1012
9Ross County132651021-1112
10St Johnstone133191627-1110
11Hearts122371419-59
12Hibernian121561118-78


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