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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 16
Dec 6, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Celtic Park
Hibs logo

Celtic
4 - 1
Hibernian

Oh (5', 55'), O'Riley (36'), Palma (51' pen.)
Palma (21'), McGregor (44')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Doidge (72')
Fish (84'), Molotnikov (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Scottish Premiership clash between Celtic and Hibernian, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: St Johnstone 1-3 Celtic
Sunday, December 3 at 12pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Hibernian 2-0 Aberdeen
Sunday, December 3 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: Celtic 3-0 Hibernian

Celtic were relatively close to an embarrassing slip-up at McDiarmid Park on Sunday, and the home supporters will not accept a similarly sluggish start from the Bhoys on Wednesday night. Hibernian got away with handing Aberdeen a host of clear-cut chances last time out, but we feel that Montgomery's men will be punished for their defensive vulnerabilities at Celtic Park. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 79.6%. A draw had a probability of 12.8% and a win for Hibernian had a probability of 7.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10%) and 2-1 (8.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.86%), while for a Hibernian win it was 1-2 (2.35%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Celtic would win this match.

Result
CelticDrawHibernian
79.6% (-0.217 -0.22) 12.78% (0.118 0.12) 7.61% (0.102 0.1)
Both teams to score 52.07% (0.046999999999997 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
70.97% (-0.202 -0.2)29.03% (0.204 0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
49.99% (-0.249 -0.25)50.01% (0.251 0.25)
Celtic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
94.32% (-0.078000000000003 -0.08)5.68% (0.079999999999999 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
78.03% (-0.226 -0.23)21.97% (0.228 0.23)
Hibernian Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.2% (0.099000000000004 0.1)44.79% (-0.096000000000004 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.23% (0.076000000000001 0.08)80.77% (-0.072999999999993 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Celtic 79.59%
    Hibernian 7.61%
    Draw 12.78%
CelticDrawHibernian
2-0 @ 10.46% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
3-0 @ 10% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-1 @ 8.4% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
3-1 @ 8.04%
1-0 @ 7.3% (0.051 0.05)
4-0 @ 7.18% (-0.055000000000001 -0.06)
4-1 @ 5.76% (-0.028 -0.03)
5-0 @ 4.12% (-0.052 -0.05)
5-1 @ 3.31% (-0.033 -0.03)
3-2 @ 3.23% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-2 @ 2.31% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
6-0 @ 1.97% (-0.034 -0.03)
6-1 @ 1.58% (-0.023 -0.02)
5-2 @ 1.33% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 4.62%
Total : 79.59%
1-1 @ 5.86% (0.057 0.06)
2-2 @ 3.38% (0.025 0.02)
0-0 @ 2.54% (0.03 0.03)
Other @ 1%
Total : 12.78%
1-2 @ 2.35% (0.029 0.03)
0-1 @ 2.04% (0.03 0.03)
2-3 @ 0.9% (0.009 0.01)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 7.61%

How you voted: Celtic vs Hibernian

Celtic
84.6%
Draw
15.4%
Hibernian
0.0%
26
Head to Head
Oct 28, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 10
Hibernian
0-0
Celtic
Scales (49'), Taylor (61')
May 24, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 37
Hibernian
4-2
Celtic
Youan (52', 80'), Nisbet (75' pen.), Bernabei (86' og.)
Nisbet (45+3'), Doyle-Hayes (70')
Hatate (41' pen.), Oh (58')
Maeda (44'), Ralston (74')
Maeda (67')
Mar 18, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 29
Celtic
3-1
Hibernian
Jota (52' pen.), Oh (81'), Haksabanovic (90+5')
Campbell (39' pen.)
Dec 28, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 19
Hibernian
0-4
Celtic
Mooy (28', 58'), Maeda (36'), Furuhashi (64')
Oct 15, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 11
Celtic
6-1
Hibernian
Forrest (9', 24', 58'), Giakoumakis (18', 73'), Maeda (89')
Youan (56')
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
Wednesday, June 26
 
8pm
Saturday, June 29
 
5pm
 
8pm
Sunday, June 30
Monday, July 1
 
5pm
Tuesday, July 2
 
8pm
Friday, July 5
Saturday, July 6
Tuesday, July 9
Wednesday, July 10
Sunday, July 14
Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany32107
Q Switzerland Switzerland31205
3 Hungary Hungary31023
4 Scotland flag Scotland30121

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Spain Spain33009
Q Italy Italy31114
3 Croatia Croatia30212
4 Albania national flag Albania30121

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
Q England flag England31205
Q Denmark Denmark30303
Q Slovenia Slovenia30303
4 Serbia Serbia30212

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Austria Austria32016
Q France France31205
Q Netherlands Netherlands31114
4 Poland Poland30121

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Romania Romania41215
Q Slovakia Slovakia41215
Q Belgium Belgium31114
4 Ukraine Ukraine31114

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Portugal Portugal22006
2 Turkey Turkey21013
3 Czech Republic Czech Republic20111
4 Georgia Georgia20111


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