Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberdeen win with a probability of 49.52%. A win for St Mirren had a probability of 25.49% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aberdeen win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.47%) and 2-0 (8.86%). The likeliest St Mirren win was 0-1 (7.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Aberdeen | Draw | St Mirren |
49.52% ( -0.03) | 24.99% ( -0.04) | 25.49% ( 0.07) |
Both teams to score 52.32% ( 0.18) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.71% ( 0.2) | 50.29% ( -0.2) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.76% ( 0.18) | 72.24% ( -0.18) |
Aberdeen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.67% ( 0.06) | 20.32% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.29% ( 0.1) | 52.71% ( -0.1) |
St Mirren Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.66% ( 0.17) | 34.33% ( -0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.96% ( 0.18) | 71.04% ( -0.18) |
Score Analysis |
Aberdeen | Draw | St Mirren |
1-0 @ 11.11% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 9.47% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.86% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 5.03% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.7% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.69% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.87% 4-2 @ 1.07% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.7% Total : 49.51% | 1-1 @ 11.88% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.98% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 5.06% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 0.96% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.99% | 0-1 @ 7.46% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 6.35% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 3.99% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.26% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.8% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.42% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.19% Total : 25.49% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 12 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 35 | 4 | 31 | 34 |
2 | Aberdeen | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 25 | 12 | 13 | 31 |
3 | RangersRangers | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 23 |
4 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 20 |
5 | Motherwell | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 19 |
6 | St Mirren | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 19 | 23 | -4 | 18 |
7 | Dundee | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 15 |
8 | Ross County | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 15 |
9 | St Johnstone | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 17 | 27 | -10 | 13 |
10 | Kilmarnock | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 12 |
11 | Hearts | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 9 |
12 | Hibernian | 13 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 8 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |