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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 18
Dec 16, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Smisa Stadium
Motherwell logo

St Mirren
0 - 0
Motherwell


Baccus (73')
FT

Spittal (40')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between St Mirren and Motherwell, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: St Mirren 2-0 Ross County
Saturday, December 9 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Motherwell 1-1 St Johnstone
Saturday, December 9 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: St Mirren 2-1 Motherwell

St Mirren have already claimed two competitive victories over Motherwell this season, and after they restored some belief with a win over St Johnstone last weekend, we think that the hosts will claim a narrow victory against a Motherwell side that is low on confidence. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Mirren win with a probability of 49.74%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Motherwell had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Mirren win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.61%) and 2-1 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.3%), while for a Motherwell win it was 0-1 (8.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.

Result
St MirrenDrawMotherwell
49.74% (0.025999999999996 0.03) 26.06% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01) 24.2% (-0.012 -0.01)
Both teams to score 47.94% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.57% (0.030000000000001 0.03)55.42% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.38% (0.026 0.03)76.62% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
St Mirren Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.67% (0.022999999999996 0.02)22.33% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.19% (0.034999999999997 0.03)55.81% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Motherwell Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.72% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)38.27% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.97% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)75.03% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    St Mirren 49.73%
    Motherwell 24.2%
    Draw 26.05%
St MirrenDrawMotherwell
1-0 @ 12.81% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.61% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-1 @ 9.23% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 4.8% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-1 @ 4.61% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 2.21% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.8% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 1.73% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 49.73%
1-1 @ 12.3% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.55% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.43% (0.0019999999999998 0)
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 26.05%
0-1 @ 8.21% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
1-2 @ 5.91% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 3.94% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
1-3 @ 1.89%
2-3 @ 1.42% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.26% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 1.57%
Total : 24.2%

How you voted: St Mirren vs Motherwell

St Mirren
100%
Draw
0.0%
Motherwell
0.0%
5
Head to Head
Sep 16, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 5
Motherwell
0-1
St Mirren
Tanser (55')
Fraser (20'), Taylor (43'), Baccus (63'), Strain (65'), Hemming (82')
Aug 19, 2023 3pm
Second Round
St Mirren
1-0
Motherwell
Boyd-Munce (9')
Mandron (80'), Dunne (90+3')

O'Donnell (53'), Mugabi (89'), McGinn (90+3')
Feb 15, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 17
Motherwell
2-1
St Mirren
Van Veen (8'), Johnston (18')
Strain (24')
Jan 28, 2023 3pm
Jul 31, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 1
St Mirren
0-1
Motherwell

Strain (6'), Tanser (42'), Baccus (48'), Ayunga (84')
Van Veen (42' pen.)
O'Donnell (45+1'), Goss (64'), Speirs (73'), Maguire (84')
Lamie (82')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Celtic1110103132831
2Aberdeen11101024101431
3RangersRangers11713168822
4Dundee UnitedDundee Utd125431813519
5Motherwell116141514119
6St Mirren134361722-515
7Dundee123361824-612
8Kilmarnock123361525-1012
9Ross County132651021-1112
10St Johnstone133191627-1110
11Hearts132381420-69
12Hibernian121561118-78


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