Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Mirren win with a probability of 46.41%. A win for Ross County had a probability of 27.45% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Mirren win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.12%) and 2-0 (8.55%). The likeliest Ross County win was 0-1 (8.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Mirren would win this match.
Result | ||
St Mirren | Draw | Ross County |
46.41% ( -0.13) | 26.13% ( 0.05) | 27.45% ( 0.08) |
Both teams to score 50.46% ( -0.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.5% ( -0.13) | 53.5% ( 0.13) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.98% ( -0.11) | 75.02% ( 0.11) |
St Mirren Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.98% ( -0.11) | 23.02% ( 0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.16% ( -0.17) | 56.84% ( 0.17) |
Ross County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.55% ( -0) | 34.45% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.84% ( -0.01) | 71.16% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
St Mirren | Draw | Ross County |
1-0 @ 11.64% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.12% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 8.55% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.46% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 4.19% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.38% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.64% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.54% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.89% Total : 46.4% | 1-1 @ 12.41% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.93% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 4.86% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.93% Total : 26.13% | 0-1 @ 8.45% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 6.62% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.5% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.35% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.73% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.6% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.21% Total : 27.45% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 11 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 31 | 3 | 28 | 31 |
2 | Aberdeen | 11 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 24 | 10 | 14 | 31 |
3 | RangersRangers | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 22 |
4 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 19 |
5 | Motherwell | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 19 |
6 | St Mirren | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 15 |
7 | Dundee | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 18 | 24 | -6 | 12 |
8 | Kilmarnock | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 12 |
9 | Ross County | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 21 | -11 | 12 |
10 | St Johnstone | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 10 |
11 | Hearts | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 9 |
12 | Hibernian | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 8 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |