Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 20
Dec 27, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
The Smisa Stadium
St Mirren0 - 1Kilmarnock
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Hearts 2-0 St Mirren
Saturday, December 23 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Saturday, December 23 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Kilmarnock 2-1 St Johnstone
Saturday, December 23 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Saturday, December 23 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
We said: St Mirren 1-1 Kilmarnock
While St Mirren have seen a drop-off in performance lately, they have maintained a very good home record this season. The visitors, in contrast, have been good recently, but their away form has been far from impressive. This looks like a very even contest in the making, and we feel there will be nothing to split these sides at the final whistle. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Mirren win with a probability of 44.31%. A win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 28.42% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Mirren win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.72%) and 2-0 (8.47%). The likeliest Kilmarnock win was 0-1 (9.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| St Mirren | Draw | Kilmarnock |
44.31% ( 0.48) | 27.27% ( -0.15) | 28.42% ( -0.32) |
| Both teams to score 47.79% ( 0.25) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.75% ( 0.41) | 57.25% ( -0.41) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.91% ( 0.33) | 78.09% ( -0.33) |
| St Mirren Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.31% ( 0.43) | 25.69% ( -0.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 39.39% ( 0.58) | 60.61% ( -0.59) |
| Kilmarnock Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.31% ( -0.04) | 35.69% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 27.54% ( -0.04) | 72.46% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
St Mirren 44.3%
Kilmarnock 28.42%
Draw 27.26%
| St Mirren | Draw | Kilmarnock |
| 1-0 @ 12.45% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 8.72% ( 0.07)2-0 @ 8.47% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 3.95% ( 0.08)3-0 @ 3.84% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 2.04% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 1.34% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 1.3% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.2% Total : 44.3% | 1-1 @ 12.83% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 9.17% ( -0.15)2-2 @ 4.5% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.76% Total : 27.26% | 0-1 @ 9.45% ( -0.16) 1-2 @ 6.62% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 4.87% ( -0.09)1-3 @ 2.27% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.67% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.54% ( 0.01)Other @ 2% Total : 28.42% |
How you voted: St Mirren vs Kilmarnock
St Mirren
38.1%Draw
33.3%Kilmarnock
28.6%21
Head to Head
Apr 22, 2023 3pm
Jan 2, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 20
Kilmarnock
0-0
St Mirren
Oct 15, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 11
St Mirren
0-0
Kilmarnock
May 12, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 4
Kilmarnock
3-3
St Mirren
Form Guide
