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Scottish Premiership
Hearts logo
Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 12
Jan 23, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Tynecastle Park
Dundee logo

Hearts
3 - 2
Dundee

Nieuwenhof (57'), Lembikisa (74'), Oda (86')
Lembikisa (49')
FT(HT: 0-2)
McGhee (19'), Cameron (38')
McGhee (41'), Costelloe (45+4'), Bakayoko (60'), Dodgson (65'), Main (77'), Ashcroft (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Scottish Premiership clash between Hearts and Dundee, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hearts

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Spartans 1-2 Hearts
Saturday, January 20 at 12.15pm in Scottish Cup

Dundee

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Kilmarnock 2-0 Dundee
Saturday, January 20 at 3pm in Scottish Cup

We said: Hearts 2-1 Dundee

 Dundee have only lost six of their 18 league matches this season, and they are certainly capable of picking up a positive result in this game. Hearts are the favourites, though, and we are expecting Naismith's side to navigate their way to all three points in the Scottish Premiership encounter. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 47.84%. A win for Dundee had a probability of 27.83% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.45%) and 2-0 (7.87%). The likeliest Dundee win was 0-1 (6.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.45%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.

Result
HeartsDrawDundee
47.84% (1.119 1.12) 24.33% (0.071000000000002 0.07) 27.83% (-1.19 -1.19)
Both teams to score 56.46% (-1.098 -1.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.23% (-1.057 -1.06)45.77% (1.058 1.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.91% (-1.013 -1.01)68.08% (1.014 1.01)
Hearts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.78% (0.043000000000006 0.04)19.22% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.08% (0.067999999999998 0.07)50.92% (-0.067 -0.07)
Dundee Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.9% (-1.395 -1.4)30.1% (1.397 1.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.76% (-1.71 -1.71)66.24% (1.712 1.71)
Score Analysis
    Hearts 47.84%
    Dundee 27.83%
    Draw 24.32%
HeartsDrawDundee
1-0 @ 9.54% (0.435 0.44)
2-1 @ 9.45% (0.086 0.09)
2-0 @ 7.87% (0.368 0.37)
3-1 @ 5.19% (0.053999999999999 0.05)
3-0 @ 4.33% (0.208 0.21)
3-2 @ 3.12% (-0.09 -0.09)
4-1 @ 2.14% (0.025 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.78% (0.088 0.09)
4-2 @ 1.29% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 47.84%
1-1 @ 11.45% (0.09 0.09)
0-0 @ 5.79% (0.256 0.26)
2-2 @ 5.67% (-0.171 -0.17)
3-3 @ 1.25% (-0.086 -0.09)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.32%
0-1 @ 6.95% (0.046 0.05)
1-2 @ 6.88% (-0.215 -0.22)
0-2 @ 4.17% (-0.137 -0.14)
1-3 @ 2.75% (-0.198 -0.2)
2-3 @ 2.27% (-0.16 -0.16)
0-3 @ 1.67% (-0.123 -0.12)
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 27.83%

How you voted: Hearts vs Dundee

Hearts
93.2%
Draw
4.5%
Dundee
2.3%
44
Head to Head
Aug 27, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 3
Dundee
1-0
Hearts
McCowan (63')
Beck (39')

Oda (39')
> Preview
Feb 9, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 26
Hearts
1-2
Dundee
Simms (21')
Sibbick (51' og.), Mullen (78')
Adam (40'), Rudden (66'), Byrne (90+3')
> Preview
Dec 18, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 19
Dundee
0-1
Hearts

Anderson (47'), McGowan (54'), Griffiths (58'), Mullen (85')
Walker (75')
Walker (59'), Souttar (80')
> Preview
Oct 23, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 10
Hearts
1-1
Dundee
Souttar (37')
Halkett (30'), Woodburn (34')
Cummings (83')
Legzdins (38'), Sweeney (53'), McGhee (59'), Adam (69'), Mullen (90+6')
> Preview
Mar 6, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 19
Hearts
2-1
Dundee
Halliday (35'), Gnanduillet (58')
Haring (90+4')
Cummings (63' pen.)
Ashcroft (54'), McMullan (84')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Celtic1110103132831
2Aberdeen11101024101431
3RangersRangers11713168822
4Dundee UnitedDundee Utd125431813519
5Motherwell116141514119
6St Mirren134361722-515
7Dundee123361824-612
8Kilmarnock123361525-1012
9Ross County132651021-1112
10St Johnstone133191627-1110
11Hearts132381420-69
12Hibernian121561118-78
> Scottish Premiership Full Table


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