Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rangers win with a probability of 75.32%. A draw had a probability of 16.2% and a win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 8.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rangers win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.88%) and 3-0 (10.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.66%), while for a Kilmarnock win it was 0-1 (3.28%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rangers would win this match.
Result | ||
Rangers | Draw | Kilmarnock |
75.32% ( -0.09) | 16.15% ( 0.05) | 8.53% ( 0.04) |
Both teams to score 42.88% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.17% ( -0.1) | 42.83% ( 0.1) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.76% ( -0.1) | 65.24% ( 0.1) |
Rangers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.3% ( -0.05) | 9.7% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
67.67% ( -0.11) | 32.33% ( 0.11) |
Kilmarnock Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
47.49% ( 0.03) | 52.51% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
13.67% ( 0.02) | 86.33% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Rangers | Draw | Kilmarnock |
2-0 @ 13.86% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 11.88% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 10.78% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.93% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 6.94% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 6.29% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 4.05% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 2.93% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.24% 5-1 @ 1.89% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.31% ( -0) 6-0 @ 1.14% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.08% Total : 75.32% | 1-1 @ 7.66% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 5.09% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 2.88% ( 0) Other @ 0.53% Total : 16.15% | 0-1 @ 3.28% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 2.47% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 1.06% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.72% Total : 8.53% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 11 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 31 | 3 | 28 | 31 |
2 | Aberdeen | 11 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 24 | 10 | 14 | 31 |
3 | RangersRangers | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 22 |
4 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 19 |
5 | Motherwell | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 19 |
6 | St Mirren | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 15 |
7 | Dundee | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 18 | 24 | -6 | 12 |
8 | Kilmarnock | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 12 |
9 | Ross County | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 21 | -11 | 12 |
10 | St Johnstone | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 10 |
11 | Hearts | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 9 |
12 | Hibernian | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 8 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |