Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 49.92%. A win for Rangers had a probability of 27.71% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.27%) and 2-0 (6.89%). The likeliest Rangers win was 1-2 (6.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Celtic in this match.
Result | ||
Celtic | Draw | Rangers |
49.92% ( -2.65) | 22.37% ( 0.82) | 27.71% ( 1.84) |
Both teams to score 63.29% ( -1.26) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.27% ( -2.38) | 36.73% ( 2.39) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.11% ( -2.64) | 58.89% ( 2.65) |
Celtic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.97% ( -1.7) | 15.03% ( 1.71) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.49% ( -3.33) | 43.51% ( 3.33) |
Rangers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.48% ( 0.01) | 25.52% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.63% ( 0.02) | 60.37% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Celtic | Draw | Rangers |
2-1 @ 9.41% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 7.27% ( 0.41) 2-0 @ 6.89% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 5.94% ( -0.4) 3-0 @ 4.35% ( -0.29) 3-2 @ 4.06% ( -0.27) 4-1 @ 2.82% ( -0.38) 4-0 @ 2.06% ( -0.28) 4-2 @ 1.92% ( -0.26) 5-1 @ 1.07% ( -0.22) Other @ 4.14% Total : 49.92% | 1-1 @ 9.93% ( 0.57) 2-2 @ 6.42% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 3.84% ( 0.43) 3-3 @ 1.85% ( -0.12) Other @ 0.33% Total : 22.37% | 1-2 @ 6.78% ( 0.39) 0-1 @ 5.24% ( 0.59) 0-2 @ 3.58% ( 0.41) 1-3 @ 3.09% ( 0.18) 2-3 @ 2.92% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.63% ( 0.19) 1-4 @ 1.05% ( 0.06) 2-4 @ 1% ( -0) Other @ 2.43% Total : 27.72% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 29 | 3 | 26 | 28 |
2 | Aberdeen | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 28 |
3 | RangersRangers | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 19 |
4 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 16 |
5 | Motherwell | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 16 |
6 | Dundee | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 12 |
7 | St Mirren | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 21 | -6 | 12 |
8 | Kilmarnock | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 12 |
9 | Ross County | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 12 |
10 | St Johnstone | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 10 |
11 | Hearts | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 9 |
12 | Hibernian | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 8 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |