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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 20
Feb 14, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Pittodrie Stadium
Motherwell logo

Aberdeen
3 - 3
Motherwell

Lopes (31', 50'), Gartenmann (37')
MacDonald (83'), Shinnie (90')
FT(HT: 2-3)
Bair (5' pen., 22'), Devine (26')
Nicholson (61'), McGinn (87'), Butcher (90+4'), Kelly (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Scottish Premiership clash between Aberdeen and Motherwell, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Aberdeen 2-1 Motherwell

Motherwell have been lethargic in front of goal recently, but we can see them finding the back of the net here. We are also backing Aberdeen to come away with maximum points come the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberdeen win with a probability of 45.21%. A win for Motherwell had a probability of 29.18% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aberdeen win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.14%) and 2-0 (7.92%). The likeliest Motherwell win was 0-1 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.

Result
AberdeenDrawMotherwell
45.21% (5.945 5.95) 25.62% (-0.947 -0.95) 29.18% (-4.996 -5)
Both teams to score 53.19% (1.078 1.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.52% (2.278 2.28)50.48% (-2.275 -2.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.59% (1.982 1.98)72.41% (-1.979 -1.98)
Aberdeen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.7% (3.999 4)22.3% (-3.996 -4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.24% (5.661 5.66)55.76% (-5.659 -5.66)
Motherwell Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.45% (-2.25 -2.25)31.55% (2.252 2.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.06% (-2.679 -2.68)67.94% (2.681 2.68)
Score Analysis
    Aberdeen 45.2%
    Motherwell 29.18%
    Draw 25.61%
AberdeenDrawMotherwell
1-0 @ 10.55% (0.27 0.27)
2-1 @ 9.14% (0.7 0.7)
2-0 @ 7.92% (1.049 1.05)
3-1 @ 4.57% (0.815 0.82)
3-0 @ 3.96% (0.902 0.9)
3-2 @ 2.64% (0.33 0.33)
4-1 @ 1.72% (0.46 0.46)
4-0 @ 1.49% (0.465 0.47)
4-2 @ 0.99% (0.22 0.22)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 45.2%
1-1 @ 12.17% (-0.46 -0.46)
0-0 @ 7.03% (-0.669 -0.67)
2-2 @ 5.27% (0.092000000000001 0.09)
3-3 @ 1.01% (0.07 0.07)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.61%
0-1 @ 8.11% (-1.343 -1.34)
1-2 @ 7.03% (-0.73 -0.73)
0-2 @ 4.68% (-1.124 -1.12)
1-3 @ 2.7% (-0.472 -0.47)
2-3 @ 2.03% (-0.093 -0.09)
0-3 @ 1.8% (-0.576 -0.58)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 29.18%

How you voted: Aberdeen vs Motherwell

Aberdeen
78.2%
Draw
11.5%
Motherwell
10.3%
78
Head to Head
Nov 1, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
Motherwell
2-4
Aberdeen
Bair (78'), Biereth (90+3')
Butcher (51'), Wilkinson (52'), Spencer (54'), Biereth (59'), Kelly (69'), Zdravkovski (90+4')
McGrath (26', 68'), Devlin (44'), Lopes (74')
Roos (86')
Feb 4, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 25
Aberdeen
3-1
Motherwell
Lopes (42'), Miovski (64', 69')
Van Veen (75' pen.)
Oct 22, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 12
Motherwell
1-2
Aberdeen
McKinstry (55')
Miovski (4'), Lopes (68')
Aug 13, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 3
Aberdeen
2-3
Motherwell
Miovski (42'), Hayes (47')
MacKenzie (90+6')
Spittal (20'), Slattery (52'), Van Veen (55')
Slattery (35'), Morris (85')
Feb 19, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 27
Motherwell
1-1
Aberdeen
O'Hara (68')
Shields (31'), Mugabi (45+4'), Donnelly (52'), Lamie (90+2')
Besuijen (34')
McCrorie (3'), Gallagher (45+4'), Ferguson (83')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Celtic1514104444043
2Aberdeen16104230181234
3RangersRangers1510232791832
4Motherwell168172226-425
5Dundee UnitedDundee Utd166642519624
6St Mirren176382228-621
7Dundee165472729-219
8Kilmarnock174581834-1617
9Hibernian173682129-815
10Ross County173681333-2015
11St Johnstone1742112032-1214
12Hearts1734101826-813


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