Scottish Premiership

Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 21

Dec 30, 2023 at 3pm UK

Fir Park

Motherwell
3 - 1
Livingston

Spittal (14'), Bair (19', 35')
Biereth (45'), Spencer (59'), Mugabi (71'), Slattery (84')

FT(HT: 3-1)

Pittman (23')
Devlin (39'), Holt (43'), Anderson (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Motherwell and Livingston, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Motherwell

All competitions

Last Game: Motherwell 0-2 Rangers
Sunday, December 24 at 12pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Top scorers

Livingston

All competitions

Last Game: Livingston 0-0 St Johnstone
Wednesday, December 27 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Motherwell 1-0 Livingston

This is a true six-pointer for both teams at this stage in the season, and because of how much it means to each club it will likely be a closely contested fixture. Motherwell will be the favourites considering the lack of goals that Livingston have they should be able to take all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motherwell win with a probability of 48.76%. A win for Livingston had a probability of 26.63% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Motherwell win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.49%) and 2-0 (8.35%). The likeliest Livingston win was 0-1 (7.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Motherwell would win this match.

Result
Motherwell	Draw	Livingston
48.76% ( -0.19)	24.61% ( -0.15)	26.63% ( 0.35)

Both teams to score 54.55% (

0.8)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.16% (

0.91)

47.84% (

-0.91)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.98% (

0.83)

70.02% (

-0.83)

Motherwell Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.33% (

0.28)

19.67% (

-0.28)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.35% (

0.45)

51.65% (

-0.45)

Livingston Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.9% (

0.77)

32.1% (

-0.76)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.43% (

0.86)

68.57% (

-0.85)

Score Analysis

Motherwell 48.76%

Livingston 26.63%

Draw 24.61%

Motherwell	Draw	Livingston
1-0 @ 10.26% ( -0.3) 2-1 @ 9.49% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.35% ( -0.17) 3-1 @ 5.14% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 4.53% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 2.92% ( 0.09) 4-1 @ 2.09% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 1.84% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.19% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.95% Total : 48.76%	1-1 @ 11.66% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 6.31% ( -0.24) 2-2 @ 5.39% ( 0.11) 3-3 @ 1.11% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.61%	0-1 @ 7.17% ( -0.12) 1-2 @ 6.63% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 4.08% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.51% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 2.04% ( 0.08) 0-3 @ 1.54% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.65% Total : 26.63%