Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motherwell win with a probability of 46.84%. A win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 27.45% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Motherwell win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.23%) and 2-0 (8.45%). The likeliest Kilmarnock win was 0-1 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Motherwell | Draw | Kilmarnock |
46.84% ( 0.69) | 25.71% ( 0.01) | 27.45% ( -0.7) |
Both teams to score 51.76% ( -0.52) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.19% ( -0.45) | 51.81% ( 0.45) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.43% ( -0.39) | 73.57% ( 0.39) |
Motherwell Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.89% ( 0.12) | 22.11% ( -0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.53% ( 0.19) | 55.47% ( -0.19) |
Kilmarnock Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.46% ( -0.77) | 33.54% ( 0.77) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.81% ( -0.86) | 70.19% ( 0.86) |
Score Analysis |
Motherwell | Draw | Kilmarnock |
1-0 @ 11.19% ( 0.24) 2-1 @ 9.23% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 8.45% ( 0.21) 3-1 @ 4.64% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 4.25% ( 0.12) 3-2 @ 2.54% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.75% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.6% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 0.96% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.24% Total : 46.84% | 1-1 @ 12.22% 0-0 @ 7.42% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 5.04% ( -0.09) 3-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.7% | 0-1 @ 8.1% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 6.68% ( -0.14) 0-2 @ 4.42% ( -0.11) 1-3 @ 2.43% ( -0.11) 2-3 @ 1.84% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 1.61% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.38% Total : 27.45% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 29 | 3 | 26 | 28 |
2 | Aberdeen | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 28 |
3 | RangersRangers | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 19 |
4 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 16 |
5 | Motherwell | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 16 |
6 | Dundee | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 12 |
7 | St Mirren | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 21 | -6 | 12 |
8 | Kilmarnock | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 12 |
9 | Ross County | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 12 |
10 | St Johnstone | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 10 |
11 | Hearts | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 9 |
12 | Hibernian | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 8 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |