Scottish Cup | Fourth Round

Jan 20, 2024 at 3pm UK

Fir Park

Motherwell
3 - 1
Alloa

Spittal (2', 88'), Gent (60')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Sammon (27')
Neill (81')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Scottish Cup Fourth Round clash between Motherwell and Alloa Athletic.

Form, Standings, Stats

Motherwell

All competitions

Last Game: Hibernian 2-2 Motherwell
Tuesday, January 2 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Top scorers

Alloa Athletic

All competitions

Last Game: QotS 1-1 Alloa
Saturday, January 13 at 3pm in Scottish League One

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motherwell win with a probability of 56.59%. A win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 22% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Motherwell win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.27%) and 1-0 (8.2%). The likeliest Alloa Athletic win was 1-2 (5.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Motherwell would win this match.

Result
Motherwell	Draw	Alloa Athletic
56.59%	21.41%	22%

Both teams to score 60.19%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.04%

37.95%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.79%

60.21%

Motherwell Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.68%

13.32%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.84%

40.16%

Alloa Athletic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.44%

30.56%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.21%

66.79%

Score Analysis

Motherwell 56.59%

Alloa Athletic 22%

Draw 21.41%

Motherwell	Draw	Alloa Athletic
2-1 @ 9.81% 2-0 @ 8.27% 1-0 @ 8.2% 3-1 @ 6.59% 3-0 @ 5.56% 3-2 @ 3.91% 4-1 @ 3.32% 4-0 @ 2.8% 4-2 @ 1.97% 5-1 @ 1.34% 5-0 @ 1.13% Other @ 3.69% Total : 56.59%	1-1 @ 9.73% 2-2 @ 5.81% 0-0 @ 4.07% 3-3 @ 1.54% Other @ 0.25% Total : 21.41%	1-2 @ 5.77% 0-1 @ 4.82% 0-2 @ 2.86% 2-3 @ 2.3% 1-3 @ 2.28% 0-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 2.85% Total : 22%