Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motherwell win with a probability of 51.18%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Ross County had a probability of 24.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Motherwell win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.57%) and 2-0 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.73%), while for a Ross County win it was 0-1 (7.19%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Motherwell would win this match.
Result | ||
Motherwell | Draw | Ross County |
51.18% ( -1.56) | 24.67% ( 1.01) | 24.15% ( 0.56) |
Both teams to score 51.99% ( -2.55) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.92% ( -3.68) | 50.08% ( 3.68) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.95% ( -3.37) | 72.05% ( 3.37) |
Motherwell Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.44% ( -2.01) | 19.56% ( 2.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.52% ( -3.38) | 51.48% ( 3.38) |
Ross County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.63% ( -1.52) | 35.37% ( 1.52) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.87% ( -1.62) | 72.13% ( 1.62) |
Score Analysis |
Motherwell | Draw | Ross County |
1-0 @ 11.28% ( 0.95) 2-1 @ 9.57% ( -0.17) 2-0 @ 9.21% ( 0.22) 3-1 @ 5.21% ( -0.44) 3-0 @ 5.01% ( -0.21) 3-2 @ 2.71% ( -0.36) 4-1 @ 2.12% ( -0.33) 4-0 @ 2.04% ( -0.23) 4-2 @ 1.1% ( -0.23) Other @ 2.92% Total : 51.17% | 1-1 @ 11.73% ( 0.54) 0-0 @ 6.92% ( 0.98) 2-2 @ 4.97% ( -0.3) 3-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.17) Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.67% | 0-1 @ 7.19% ( 0.76) 1-2 @ 6.1% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 3.74% ( 0.25) 1-3 @ 2.11% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 1.72% ( -0.18) 0-3 @ 1.29% ( 0.04) Other @ 2% Total : 24.15% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 29 | 3 | 26 | 28 |
2 | Aberdeen | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 28 |
3 | RangersRangers | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 19 |
4 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 16 |
5 | Motherwell | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 16 |
6 | Dundee | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 12 |
7 | St Mirren | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 21 | -6 | 12 |
8 | Kilmarnock | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 12 |
9 | Ross County | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 12 |
10 | St Johnstone | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 10 |
11 | Hearts | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 9 |
12 | Hibernian | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 8 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |