Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 66.54%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Livingston had a probability of 13.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.5%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.4%), while for a Livingston win it was 0-1 (4.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Kilmarnock would win this match.
Result | ||
Kilmarnock | Draw | Livingston |
66.54% (![]() | 19.76% (![]() | 13.7% (![]() |
Both teams to score 48.83% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.25% (![]() | 44.75% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.89% (![]() | 67.11% (![]() |
Kilmarnock Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.46% (![]() | 12.54% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.41% (![]() | 38.59% (![]() |
Livingston Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.84% (![]() | 44.16% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.75% (![]() | 80.25% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Kilmarnock | Draw | Livingston |
2-0 @ 11.93% (![]() 1-0 @ 11.5% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 9.76% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 8.26% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 6.75% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 4.29% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 3.5% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.76% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 1.78% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.46% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.43% ( ![]() Other @ 3.12% Total : 66.54% | 1-1 @ 9.4% (![]() 0-0 @ 5.54% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 3.99% ( ![]() Other @ 0.84% Total : 19.76% | 0-1 @ 4.53% (![]() 1-2 @ 3.84% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 1.85% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.09% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.05% ( ![]() Other @ 1.34% Total : 13.7% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 26 | 22 | 3 | 1 | 76 | 12 | 64 | 69 |
2 | RangersRangers | 25 | 16 | 5 | 4 | 51 | 19 | 32 | 53 |
3 | Aberdeen | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 34 | 39 | -5 | 38 |
4 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 32 | 31 | 1 | 37 |
5 | Hibernian | 25 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 37 | 37 | 0 | 33 |
6 | Kilmarnock | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 31 | 41 | -10 | 31 |
7 | Motherwell | 26 | 9 | 4 | 13 | 30 | 45 | -15 | 31 |
8 | Hearts | 25 | 8 | 6 | 11 | 34 | 33 | 1 | 30 |
9 | St Mirren | 25 | 9 | 3 | 13 | 30 | 39 | -9 | 30 |
10 | Ross County | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 27 | 47 | -20 | 29 |
11 | Dundee | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 38 | 55 | -17 | 27 |
12 | St Johnstone | 26 | 6 | 3 | 17 | 29 | 51 | -22 | 21 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |