Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 25
Feb 7, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Rugby Park
Kilmarnock1 - 0Livingston
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Motherwell 1-1 Kilmarnock
Saturday, February 3 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Saturday, February 3 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Rangers 3-0 Livingston
Saturday, February 3 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Saturday, February 3 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
We said: Kilmarnock 2-0 Livingston
Kilmarnock earned a respectable point at Motherwell last time out, and with January arrival Van Veen set for his full debut, the hosts will be confident of easing past Livingston on Wednesday. The Lions will have more chances to impress in an attacking sense than they did at Ibrox on the weekend, nevertheless we feel that the end result will be the same at Rugby Park. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 66.54%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Livingston had a probability of 13.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.5%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.4%), while for a Livingston win it was 0-1 (4.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Kilmarnock would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Kilmarnock | Draw | Livingston |
66.54% ( -0.87) | 19.76% ( 0.45) | 13.7% ( 0.42) |
| Both teams to score 48.83% ( -0.32) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.25% ( -1.05) | 44.75% ( 1.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.89% ( -1.02) | 67.11% ( 1.02) |
| Kilmarnock Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.46% ( -0.55) | 12.54% ( 0.55) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 61.41% ( -1.16) | 38.59% ( 1.16) |
| Livingston Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.84% ( -0.01) | 44.16% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 19.75% ( -0.01) | 80.25% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
Kilmarnock 66.54%
Livingston 13.7%
Draw 19.76%
| Kilmarnock | Draw | Livingston |
| 2-0 @ 11.93% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 11.5% ( 0.28)2-1 @ 9.76% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 8.26% ( -0.16)3-1 @ 6.75% ( -0.13)4-0 @ 4.29% ( -0.18)4-1 @ 3.5% ( -0.15)3-2 @ 2.76% ( -0.06)5-0 @ 1.78% ( -0.11)5-1 @ 1.46% ( -0.09)4-2 @ 1.43% ( -0.06)Other @ 3.12% Total : 66.54% | 1-1 @ 9.4% ( 0.22) 0-0 @ 5.54% ( 0.25)2-2 @ 3.99% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.84% Total : 19.76% | 0-1 @ 4.53% ( 0.2) 1-2 @ 3.84% ( 0.09)0-2 @ 1.85% ( 0.08)2-3 @ 1.09% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.05% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.34% Total : 13.7% |
How you voted: Kilmarnock vs Livingston
Kilmarnock
93.5%Draw
0.0%Livingston
6.5%46
Head to Head
Dec 16, 2023 3pm
Feb 4, 2023 3pm
Nov 4, 2022 7.45pm
Form Guide
