Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 68.89%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Famalicao had a probability of 12.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.22%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.9%), while for a Famalicao win it was 0-1 (4.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Porto | Draw | Famalicao |
68.89% ( -0.42) | 18.72% ( 0.22) | 12.39% ( 0.2) |
Both teams to score 48.5% ( -0.12) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.8% ( -0.49) | 43.2% ( 0.49) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.4% ( -0.49) | 65.6% ( 0.49) |
Porto Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.55% ( -0.25) | 11.45% ( 0.25) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
63.75% ( -0.55) | 36.26% ( 0.55) |
Famalicao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
54.77% ( 0.02) | 45.23% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.88% ( 0.01) | 81.12% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Porto | Draw | Famalicao |
2-0 @ 12.16% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 11.22% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 9.65% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 8.79% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 6.97% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 4.76% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 3.78% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 2.77% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 2.06% ( -0.06) 5-1 @ 1.64% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.5% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.59% Total : 68.89% | 1-1 @ 8.9% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 5.18% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 3.83% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.82% Total : 18.72% | 0-1 @ 4.11% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 3.53% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 1.63% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.01% ( 0) 1-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.17% Total : 12.39% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 17 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 48 | 14 | 34 | 41 |
2 | Porto | 16 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 40 | 9 | 31 | 40 |
3 | Benfica | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 38 | 11 | 27 | 38 |
4 | Braga | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 30 | 19 | 11 | 31 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 16 | 10 | 0 | 6 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 30 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 26 | 22 | 4 | 25 |
7 | Casa Pia | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 23 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 22 |
9 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 19 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 27 | -10 | 19 |
11 | Gil Vicente | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 18 |
12 | Estrela Amadora | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 25 | -11 | 16 |
13 | AVS | 17 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 15 |
14 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 15 |
15 | AroucaArouca | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 28 | -15 | 15 |
16 | Nacional | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 23 | -12 | 13 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 23 | -12 | 13 |
18 | BoavistaBoavista | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 26 | -15 | 12 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |