Primeira Liga | Gameweek 6
Sep 22, 2024 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio Jose Alvalade
We said: Sporting Lisbon 4-0 AVS
While early signs have shown that AVS have what it takes to compete in the big leagues, they are in for a tough 90 minutes against a high-flying Sporting Lisbon side. Given the gulf in quality and experience between the two sides, we predict that Amorim's men will come away with all three points unscathed.
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Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 82.27% . A draw had a probability of 11.4% and a win for AVS had a probability of 6.3% .
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.53% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.49%) and 3-1 (7.95%) . The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.26%) , while for an AVS win it was 1-2 (1.98%) . The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood . Our data analysis correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Sporting Lisbon in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Sporting Lisbon.
Result Sporting Lisbon Draw AVS 82.27% ( -0.12) 11.43% ( 0.17) 6.3% ( -0.05)
Both teams to score 50.35% ( -1.3)
72.55% ( -1.27) 27.45% ( 1.27)
51.95% ( -1.62) 48.05% ( 1.62)
95.08% ( -0.25) 4.92% ( 0.25)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 80.26% ( -0.77) 19.74% ( 0.77)
52.96% ( -1.22) 47.04% ( 1.22)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 17.48% ( -0.94) 82.52% ( 0.94)
Sporting Lisbon 82.25%
AVS 6.3%
Draw 11.43%
Sporting Lisbon Draw AVS 3-0 @ 10.53% ( 0.28) 2-0 @ 10.49% ( 0.45) 3-1 @ 7.95% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 7.93% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 7.92% ( 0.08) 1-0 @ 6.97% ( 0.42) 4-1 @ 5.98% ( -0.15) 5-0 @ 4.78% ( -0.04) 5-1 @ 3.6% ( -0.16) 3-2 @ 3% ( -0.13) 6-0 @ 2.4% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 2.26% ( -0.14) 6-1 @ 1.81% ( -0.11) 5-2 @ 1.36% ( -0.11) 7-0 @ 1.03% ( -0.04) Other @ 4.24% Total : 82.25% 1-1 @ 5.26% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 2.99% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 2.32% ( 0.18) Other @ 0.87% Total : 11.43% 1-2 @ 1.98% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 1.75% ( 0.08) Other @ 2.57% Total : 6.3%
How you voted: Sporting Lisbon vs AVS
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rhs 2.0
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