Primeira Liga | Gameweek 5
Sep 14, 2024 at 6pm UK
Estadio Clube Desportivo das Aves
AVS1 - 0Rio Ave
We said: AVS 1-1 Rio Ave
Excluding this season's expected losses to Sporting and Porto, Rio Ave have typically found ways to avoid losing on their travels despite the failure to win on the road in 2023-24. Having played out six consecutive draws to end the previous campaign, another stalemate is likely against an AVS side that have been hard to play against on their turf. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AVS win with a probability of 49.04%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Rio Ave had a probability of 24.55%.
The most likely scoreline for an AVS win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.56%) and 2-1 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.43%), while for a Rio Ave win it was 0-1 (8.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for AVS in this match.
| Result | ||
| AVS | Draw | Rio Ave |
49.04% ( 0.23) | 26.41% ( -0.05) | 24.55% ( -0.17) |
| Both teams to score 47.29% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
