Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 68.87%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Estrela Amadora had a probability of 12.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.8%) and 1-2 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.82%), while for a Estrela Amadora win it was 1-0 (4.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.
Result | ||
Estrela Amadora | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
12.57% (![]() | 18.57% (![]() | 68.87% (![]() |
Both teams to score 49.58% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.94% (![]() | 42.05% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.54% (![]() | 64.46% (![]() |
Estrela Amadora Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.79% (![]() | 44.21% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.7% (![]() | 80.3% (![]() |
Sporting Lisbon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.87% (![]() | 11.13% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
64.44% (![]() | 35.56% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Estrela Amadora | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
1-0 @ 4.02% (![]() 2-1 @ 3.6% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 1.64% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.08% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 0.98% ( ![]() Other @ 1.26% Total : 12.57% | 1-1 @ 8.82% (![]() 0-0 @ 4.92% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 3.95% ( ![]() Other @ 0.88% Total : 18.57% | 0-2 @ 11.86% (![]() 0-1 @ 10.8% ( ![]() 1-2 @ 9.68% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 8.68% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 7.08% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 4.77% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 3.89% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.89% ( ![]() 0-5 @ 2.09% ( ![]() 1-5 @ 1.71% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.59% ( ![]() Other @ 3.83% Total : 68.86% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 14 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 43 | 10 | 33 | 36 |
2 | Porto | 14 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 33 | 9 | 24 | 34 |
3 | Benfica | 13 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 32 | 8 | 24 | 32 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 14 | 9 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 27 |
5 | Braga | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 25 | 16 | 9 | 25 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 22 |
7 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 20 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 19 |
9 | Casa Pia | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 17 |
10 | Gil Vicente | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 16 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 16 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 14 |
13 | Nacional | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 12 |
14 | AVS | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 12 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 12 |
16 | BoavistaBoavista | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 11 |
17 | AroucaArouca | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 23 | -15 | 11 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 20 | -13 | 9 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |