Sporting Lisbon6 - 1Boavista
Form, Standings, Stats
Thursday, March 14 at 8pm in Europa League
Saturday, March 9 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
We said: Sporting Lisbon 3-0 Boavista
Sporting Lisbon will look to quickly move in from their midweek Europa League disappointment as they continue their quest for the league title. Amorim's men boast the firepower needed to get the job done, and given their outstanding home record, we are tipping them to claim maximum points this weekend. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 80.71%. A draw had a probability of 12.4% and a win for Boavista had a probability of 6.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.52%) and 2-1 (8.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.74%), while for a Boavista win it was 1-2 (2.16%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Boavista |
80.71% ( 0.47) | 12.36% ( -0.39) | 6.93% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 49.93% ( 1.35) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 70.28% ( 1.82) | 29.72% ( -1.82) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 49.14% ( 2.17) | 50.85% ( -2.17) |
| Sporting Lisbon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 94.37% ( 0.45) | 5.62% ( -0.45) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 78.19% ( 1.28) | 21.8% ( -1.28) |
| Boavista Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.91% ( 1.18) | 47.09% ( -1.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 17.44% ( 0.87) | 82.55% ( -0.88) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Boavista |
| 2-0 @ 10.96% ( -0.54) 3-0 @ 10.52% ( -0.22)2-1 @ 8.26% ( -0.12)3-1 @ 7.93% ( 0.1)1-0 @ 7.62% ( -0.59)4-0 @ 7.57% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 5.7% ( 0.22)5-0 @ 4.36% ( 0.15)5-1 @ 3.28% ( 0.21)3-2 @ 2.98% ( 0.14)4-2 @ 2.15% ( 0.15)6-0 @ 2.09% ( 0.12)6-1 @ 1.58% ( 0.14)5-2 @ 1.24% ( 0.12)Other @ 4.46% Total : 80.7% | 1-1 @ 5.74% ( -0.24) 2-2 @ 3.11% ( 0.06)0-0 @ 2.65% ( -0.28)Other @ 0.86% Total : 12.36% | 1-2 @ 2.16% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 1.99% ( -0.14)Other @ 2.78% Total : 6.93% |
