Estoril0 - 3Sporting Lisbon
Form, Standings, Stats
Saturday, September 21 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Sunday, September 22 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
for
We said: Estoril Praia 0-2 Sporting Lisbon
Despite Estoril's seeming upswing under Cathro, it is hard to look beyond a routine victory for Sporting, with Gyokeres scoring for the 10th match running for club and country, having netted in every league match so far this term. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 75.8%. A draw had a probability of 15.8% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 8.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.34%) and 0-3 (10.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.49%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 1-0 (3.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Estoril Praia | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
8.44% ( -0.06) | 15.76% ( -0.16) | 75.8% ( 0.22) |
| Both teams to score 43.86% ( 0.3) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.69% ( 0.55) | 41.31% ( -0.55) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.29% ( 0.55) | 63.71% ( -0.55) |
| Estoril Praia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 48.31% ( 0.23) | 51.69% ( -0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 14.2% ( 0.15) | 85.8% ( -0.15) |
| Sporting Lisbon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.8% ( 0.19) | 9.2% ( -0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 68.84% ( 0.45) | 31.16% ( -0.45) |
| Score Analysis |
| Estoril Praia | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
| 1-0 @ 3.14% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 2.47% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 1.04% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.79% Total : 8.44% | 1-1 @ 7.49% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 4.76% ( -0.12)2-2 @ 2.95% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.57% Total : 15.76% | 0-2 @ 13.53% ( -0.11) 0-1 @ 11.34% ( -0.19)0-3 @ 10.76% ( 0.01)1-2 @ 8.93% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 7.1% ( 0.05)0-4 @ 6.42% ( 0.06)1-4 @ 4.24% ( 0.07)0-5 @ 3.06% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 2.34% ( 0.03)1-5 @ 2.02% ( 0.05)2-4 @ 1.4% ( 0.03)0-6 @ 1.22% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.41% Total : 75.78% |
