Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santa Clara win with a probability of 56.57%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Estrela Amadora had a probability of 19.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santa Clara win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.87%) and 2-1 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.35%), while for a Estrela Amadora win it was 0-1 (6.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Santa Clara in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Santa Clara.
Result | ||
Santa Clara | Draw | Estrela Amadora |
56.57% ( 0.05) | 23.95% ( -0.01) | 19.48% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 48.05% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.8% ( -0) | 52.2% ( 0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.09% ( -0) | 73.91% ( 0.01) |
Santa Clara Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.71% ( 0.02) | 18.28% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.65% ( 0.03) | 49.35% ( -0.02) |
Estrela Amadora Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.8% ( -0.04) | 41.19% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.27% ( -0.03) | 77.73% ( 0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Santa Clara | Draw | Estrela Amadora |
1-0 @ 12.79% 2-0 @ 10.87% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.64% ( 0) 3-0 @ 6.16% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.46% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.62% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.42% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.32% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.03% Other @ 3.25% Total : 56.56% | 1-1 @ 11.35% 0-0 @ 7.53% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.28% ( -0) Other @ 0.79% Total : 23.95% | 0-1 @ 6.68% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.03% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 2.96% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.49% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.26% ( -0) Other @ 2.05% Total : 19.48% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Porto | 15 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 36 | 9 | 27 | 37 |
2 | Sporting Lisbon | 14 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 43 | 10 | 33 | 36 |
3 | Benfica | 14 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 34 | 8 | 26 | 35 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 14 | 9 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 27 |
5 | Braga | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 25 | 16 | 9 | 25 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 22 |
7 | Casa Pia | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 20 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 20 |
9 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 19 |
10 | Gil Vicente | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 16 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 16 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 14 |
13 | AVS | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 13 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 12 |
15 | Nacional | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 19 | -11 | 12 |
16 | Estrela Amadora | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 12 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 21 | -12 | 12 |
18 | AroucaArouca | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 26 | -17 | 11 |
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