Primeira Liga | Gameweek 2
Aug 19, 2024 at 8.15pm UK
Estadio Jose Gomes
We said: Estrela Amadora 1-1 Famalicao
Famalicao will head into Monday's tie looking to add to their impressive opening-day display against Braga and build a solid early-season form. The Vila Nova suffered a 1-0 loss when they visited the Estadio Jose Gomes last season and we predict that Estrela will hold out for a share of the spoils on Monday.
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Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 37.04% . A win for Estrela Amadora had a probability of 35.7% and a draw had a probability of 27.3% .
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.63% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.04%) and 0-2 (6.61%) . The likeliest Estrela Amadora win was 1-0 (10.39%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%) . The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood . Our data analysis correctly predicted that Famalicao would win this match.
Result Estrela Amadora Draw Famalicao 35.7% ( 0.03) 27.27% ( 0.18) 37.04% ( -0.21)
Both teams to score 50.06% ( -0.56)
44.56% ( -0.7) 55.44% ( 0.7)
23.37% ( -0.58) 76.63% ( 0.58)
70.34% ( -0.33) 29.66% ( 0.33)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 34.3% ( -0.4) 65.7% ( 0.4)
71.16% ( -0.46) 28.84% ( 0.46)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 35.3% ( -0.58) 64.7% ( 0.58)
Estrela Amadora 35.69%
Famalicao 37.03%
Draw 27.26%
Estrela Amadora Draw Famalicao 1-0 @ 10.39% ( 0.19) 2-1 @ 7.86% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 6.32% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 3.18% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 2.56% 3-2 @ 1.98% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 0.97% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.44% Total : 35.69% 1-1 @ 12.92% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 8.55% ( 0.23) 2-2 @ 4.89% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.9% Total : 27.26% 0-1 @ 10.63% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 8.04% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 6.61% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.33% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 2.74% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.03% ( -0.06) 1-4 @ 1.04% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.62% Total : 37.03%
How you voted: Estrela Amadora vs Famalicao
Estrela Amadora
Draw
Famalicao
35
rhs 2.0
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