MX23RW : Saturday, November 23 16:28:41| >> :120:49166:49166:
[monks data]
Porto
Champions League | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg
Mar 14, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estádio do Dragão
Inter logo

Porto
0 - 0
Inter Milan


Pepe (79'), Conceicao (90+7')
Pepe (90+7')
FT

Darmian (33'), Dzeko (69'), Acerbi (89')

Preview: Porto vs. Inter Milan - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Porto and Inter Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Deciding who takes a place in the Champions League quarter-finals, Porto and Inter Milan play out the second leg of their last-16 tie on Tuesday, at Estadio do Dragao.

The teams' opening bout in Italy ended with Inter taking the slimmest of advantages, but they have since continued some inconsistent form while their hosts are now back in the habit of winning.


Match preview

FC Porto's Otavio reacts after being shown a red card by referee Srdjan Jovanovic after receiving two yellow cards on February 22, 2023© Reuters

A frustrating night at San Siro resulted in defeat for Porto last month, with Inter substitute Romelu Lukaku scoring the only goal as Sergio Conceicao's 10-man side lost the first game of their latest adventure in the Champions League knockout stage.

Defying his recent fortunes in front of goal, Lukaku converted the rebound after hitting the post with 85 minutes on the clock, not long after Otavio was sent off for a second booking - the midfielder's first was for dissent and a foul on Hakan Calhanoglu later saw him dismissed.

Portugal's Primeira Liga champions had already been denied by Inter goalkeeper Andre Onana on a couple of occasions, but failing to find a breakthrough in Milan leaves them facing a must-win situation in Tuesday's return.

Losing has become an unfamiliar feeling this season for the Dragoes, as in addition to winning their last four fixtures to finish first in Group B before the winter break they had won 10 straight matches prior to slipping up at San Siro.

Sensationally beaten at home by Gil Vicente just four days after that setback, normal service has since been resumed and Porto have beaten both Chaves and Estoril over the past fortnight, scoring six times in the process.

The latter result was a close call, as only a Mehdi Taremi penalty sealed the points on Friday, and they trail a relentless Benfica side already qualified for the Champions League quarter-finals by five points, having also played a game more.

Inter may have ended their 22-match unbeaten streak in the first leg, but Porto progressed from their two most recent last-16 ties - both in 2019 and 2021. While the defence of their 2004 title ended with a 4-2 aggregate loss to the Nerazzurri at this stage, given their visitors' recent failings, the Dragoes will expect to overturn their deficit.

Inter Milan's Hakan Calhanoglu in action with FC Porto's Otavio on February 22, 2023© Reuters

In the Champions League knockout phase for the second year running, Inter's journey last season ended in defeat to Liverpool, but Simone Inzaghi's side beat Barcelona to finish second in Group C during the autumn and are now 90 minutes away from a place in the last eight.

Having won the first leg for only the second time in their last 10 attempts at this stage, the Italian giants will aim to continue a trend of finishing the job in Europe's premier club competition: they have won four of their last seven away games in the elimination stage, with all four coming in second legs.

Indebted to Onana and grateful for an increasingly rare Lukaku goal at San Siro, Inter have suffered more indifferent results on their travels of late, as a goalless draw with struggling Sampdoria was followed by a 1-0 loss in Bologna before another failure last Friday.

Serie A leaders Napoli hold a huge 18-point lead over the 2020-21 champions following an eighth league defeat of the season for Inzaghi's men, and a sixth setback on the road - on this occasion, at lowly Spezia - leaves them with just the seventh-best away record in Italy's top flight.

Precedent is not on the Nerazzurri's side either, as they have won just one of their eight matches away to Portuguese sides in UEFA competitions, losing on each of their last two visits - though not since September 2006 versus Sporting.

Embroiled in a five-way battle for three spots below Napoli in the race to qualify for next season's Champions League, Inter also have a Coppa Italia semi-final tie against old foes Juventus to tackle next month, but they would first love to put a halt to their away-day blues and book a place in the Champions League quarter-finals.

Porto Champions League form:


Porto form (all competitions):


Inter Milan Champions League form:


Inter Milan form (all competitions):



Team News

Porto coach Sergio Conceicao on February 22, 2023© Reuters

As Otavio misses out due to suspension after his red card in Milan, Andre Franco and Stephen Eustaqio are among those in contention for selection, with Sergio Conceicao having to make at least one change to the side that started the first leg.

Despite sustaining a heel injury against Estoril, Canada international Eustaquio should be fit to offer a more conservative option, while both Franco and Galeno - the latter of whom returned to the bench on Friday - provide more attacking potential. Galeno's fellow Brazilian Evanilson could feature if he can overcome a thigh problem.

Conceicao should revert to a more familiar lineup on Tuesday, with Mehdi Taremi and Matheus Uribe both back from the start after being benched at the weekend.

Inter goalkeeper Andre Onana will also return after being rested on Friday, following more criticism of club captain Samir Handanovic for his performance in La Spezia.

Setting up in Simone Inzaghi's preferred 3-5-2, the visitors will bring in Hakan Calhanoglu and Federico Dimarco, but a two-way tussle between Edin Dzeko and Romelu Lukaku to join top scorer Lautaro Martinez up front remains undecided.

Joaquin Correa is another option following his recent return to training but could appear as a second-half substitute at best, while Milan Skriniar may not make the squad due to a back problem - Sunday's Derby D'Italia is a more likely target for the Slovakian defender.

Porto possible starting lineup:
Costa; Mario, Pepe, Cardoso, Sanusi; Grujic, Uribe; Franco, Pepe, Galeno; Taremi

Inter Milan possible starting lineup:
Onana; De Vrij, Acerbi, Bastoni; Dumfries, Barella, Calhanoglu, Mkhitaryan, Dimarco; Martinez, Dzeko


SM words green background

We say: Porto 2-1 Inter Milan (2-2 on aggregate; Porto win on penalties)

Even if Porto have suffered a couple of slip-ups recently, Inter's defensive woes and troubles on the road are major issues ahead of this second-leg decider. The home side can produce goals from several sources, but as they trail before kickoff it could take extra time and penalties to finally get over the line.


For data analysis of the most likely results, scorelines and more for this match please click here.


Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 3.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 3.5:data


ID:508825:1false2false3false:QQ:: from db desktop :LenBod:collect15653:

Previews by email

Click here to get Sports Mole's daily email of previews and predictions for every major game!


Game History

How you voted: Porto vs Inter Milan

Porto
63.1%
Draw
16.8%
Inter Milan
20.1%
417
Collect / Create New Data
Share this article now:
Tottenham Hotspur manager Antonio Conte pictured on March 11, 2023
Read Next:
Inter Milan interested in re-appointing Conte?
>
Sports Mole Logo
Enter your email address to subscribe to Sports Mole's free match previews newsletter! Updates are sent twice a week.
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

League Phase

TeamPWDLPTS
1Liverpool440012
2Sporting Lisbon431010
3Brest431010
4Inter Milan431010
5Monaco431010
6Barcelona43019
7Dortmund43019
8Aston Villa43019
9Atalanta42208
10Juventus42117
11Lille42117
12Man City42117
13Arsenal42117
14B. Leverkusen42117
15Celtic42117
16Dinamo Zagreb42117
17AC Milan42026
18Bayern42026
19Benfica42026
20Feyenoord42026
21Real Madrid42026
22Brugge42026
23Atletico42026
24PSV41215
25Sparta Prague41124
26Stuttgart41124
27PSG41124
28Shakhtar41124
29Girona41033
30Salzburg41033
31Bologna40131
32RB Leipzig40040
33Sturm Graz40040
34Young Boys40040
35Red Star40040
36Slovan Bratislava40040


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!