Coupe de France | Quarter-Finals

Mar 13, 2024 at 8.10pm UK

Parc des Princes

PSG
3 - 1
Nice

Mbappe (14'), Ruiz (33'), Beraldo (60')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Laborde (37')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Coupe de France clash between Paris Saint-Germain and Nice, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Paris Saint-Germain

All competitions

Coupe de France

Last Game: PSG 2-2 Reims
Sunday, March 10 at 12pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Nice

All competitions

Coupe de France

Last Game: Nice 1-2 Montpellier
Friday, March 8 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Paris Saint-Germain 3-1 Nice

With eyes on a historic treble, PSG will be keen to ensure safe passage into the semi-finals and should do so against out-of-form opponents. Nice's abysmal form since the start of February means they are up against it here, and a dominant PSG side should have too much for them. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 53.46%. A win for Nice had a probability of 23.37% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.79%) and 2-0 (8.83%). The likeliest Nice win was 0-1 (6.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.9%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for Paris Saint-Germain in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Paris Saint-Germain.

Result
Paris Saint-Germain	Draw	Nice
53.46% ( -0.09)	23.17% ( 0.01)	23.37% ( 0.09)

Both teams to score 55.91% (

0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.54% (

0.06)

44.46% (

-0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.17% (

0.05)

66.83% (

-0.05)

Paris Saint-Germain Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.41% (

-0.01)

16.59% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.61% (

-0.02)

46.39% (

0.02)

Nice Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.02% (

0.11)

32.98% (

-0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.44% (

0.12)

69.56% (

-0.12)

Score Analysis

Paris Saint-Germain 53.46%

Nice 23.37%

Draw 23.17%

Paris Saint-Germain	Draw	Nice
1-0 @ 9.83% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.79% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.83% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 5.86% ( -0) 3-0 @ 5.29% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.25% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.63% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.37% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.46% ( 0) 5-1 @ 0.95% ( -0) Other @ 3.19% Total : 53.46%	1-1 @ 10.9% 0-0 @ 5.47% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.43% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.2% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.17%	0-1 @ 6.07% ( 0) 1-2 @ 6.05% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 3.37% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.24% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.01% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.25% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.4% Total : 23.37%