Ligue 1 | Gameweek 34
May 19, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stade Saint-Symphorien
We said: Metz 1-3 Paris Saint-Germain
When Mikautadze is on song, Metz seldom have any problems making the net bulge and can certainly put a permeable PSG backline under the cosh, even if just for a brief moment.
However, a Parisiens unit reinforced by Mbappe's return should prove far too potent for their hosts in the final third themselves, as Enrique's men end the season on a high and leave Metz dancing with the demotion devil.
Read more.
Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 70.63% . A draw had a probability of 16.6% and a win for Metz had a probability of 12.8% .
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.43% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.38%) and 0-3 (7.95%) . The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.42%) , while for a Metz win it was 2-1 (3.69%) . The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood . Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Paris Saint-Germain in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Paris Saint-Germain.
Result Metz Draw Paris Saint-Germain 12.8% ( -0.18) 16.57% ( 0) 70.63% ( 0.18)
Both teams to score 57.98% ( -0.61)
68.33% ( -0.5) 31.67% ( 0.49)
46.82% ( -0.58) 53.18% ( 0.58)
63.01% ( -0.61) 36.99% ( 0.61)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 26.22% ( -0.61) 73.78% ( 0.61)
Paris Saint-Germain Goals
92.02% ( -0.09) 7.98% ( 0.09)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 71.84% ( -0.22) 28.16% ( 0.21)
Metz 12.8%
Paris Saint-Germain 70.63%
Draw 16.57%
Metz Draw Paris Saint-Germain 2-1 @ 3.69% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 2.94% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 1.55% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 1.46% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 1.22% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.94% Total : 12.8% 1-1 @ 7.42% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 4.67% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 2.95% ( 0.08) 3-3 @ 1.3% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.23% Total : 16.57% 0-2 @ 9.43% ( 0.17) 1-2 @ 9.38% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 7.95% ( 0.12) 1-3 @ 7.91% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 7.46% ( 0.17) 0-4 @ 5.03% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 5% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 3.93% ( -0.07) 0-5 @ 2.54% ( 0.02) 1-5 @ 2.53% ( -0.03) 2-4 @ 2.49% ( -0.06) 2-5 @ 1.26% ( -0.03) 0-6 @ 1.07% ( 0) 1-6 @ 1.07% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.6% Total : 70.63%
How you voted: Metz vs PSG
Metz
Draw
Paris Saint-Germain
50
rhs 2.0
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