Ligue 1 | Gameweek 7
Oct 6, 2024 at 4pm UK
Stade Auguste-Delaune II
We said: Reims 2-0 Montpellier HSC
Reims are thriving under Elsner, and the creativity and quality of Nakamura and Ito, among others, should find a way through a Montpellier side that have struggled on the back end away from home.
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Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reims win with a probability of 47.75% . A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 28.58% and a draw had a probability of 23.7% .
The most likely scoreline for a Reims win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.43% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.54%) and 2-0 (7.35%) . The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 1-2 (7.02%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.95%) . The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood . Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Reims would win this match.
Result Reims Draw Montpellier HSC 47.75% ( -0.05) 23.66% ( 0.09) 28.58% ( -0.05)
Both teams to score 59.32% ( -0.38)
57.74% ( -0.48) 42.25% ( 0.48)
35.34% ( -0.48) 64.65% ( 0.47)
82.11% ( -0.21) 17.89% ( 0.2)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 51.32% ( -0.35) 48.67% ( 0.35)
72.24% ( -0.28) 27.75% ( 0.27)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 36.67% ( -0.36) 63.32% ( 0.35)
Reims 47.75%
Montpellier HSC 28.58%
Draw 23.66%
Reims Draw Montpellier HSC 2-1 @ 9.43% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.54% ( 0.13) 2-0 @ 7.35% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 5.41% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 4.22% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.47% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 2.33% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.82% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.49% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.71% Total : 47.75% 1-1 @ 10.95% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 6.04% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 4.96% ( 0.11) 3-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.22% Total : 23.66% 1-2 @ 7.02% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.36% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 4.08% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 3% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.58% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 1.74% ( -0) 1-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.84% Total : 28.58%
How you voted: Reims vs Montpellier
29
rhs 2.0
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