Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 69.13%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Belenenses had a probability of 11.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (13.35%) and 1-2 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.16%), while for a Belenenses win it was 1-0 (4.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.
Result | ||
Belenenses | Draw | Benfica |
11.42% | 19.45% | 69.13% |
Both teams to score 43.18% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.29% | 48.71% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.18% | 70.82% |
Belenenses Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
49.62% | 50.38% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
15.08% | 84.92% |
Benfica Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.01% | 12.99% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.5% | 39.5% |
Score Analysis |
Belenenses | Draw | Benfica |
1-0 @ 4.49% 2-1 @ 3.14% 2-0 @ 1.54% Other @ 2.26% Total : 11.42% | 1-1 @ 9.16% 0-0 @ 6.54% 2-2 @ 3.2% Other @ 0.54% Total : 19.45% | 0-2 @ 13.63% 0-1 @ 13.35% 1-2 @ 9.35% 0-3 @ 9.28% 1-3 @ 6.36% 0-4 @ 4.73% 1-4 @ 3.25% 2-3 @ 2.18% 0-5 @ 1.93% 1-5 @ 1.33% 2-4 @ 1.11% Other @ 2.64% Total : 69.12% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |