Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belenenses win with a probability of 37.06%. A win for Moreirense had a probability of 32.05% and a draw had a probability of 30.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Belenenses win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.43%) and 1-2 (7.05%). The likeliest Moreirense win was 1-0 (12.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (13.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Moreirense | Draw | Belenenses |
32.05% | 30.88% | 37.06% |
Both teams to score 39.67% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
32.1% | 67.9% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
14.13% | 85.87% |
Moreirense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.24% | 38.75% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.51% | 75.49% |
Belenenses Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.77% | 35.22% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.02% | 71.97% |
Score Analysis |
Moreirense | Draw | Belenenses |
1-0 @ 12.93% 2-1 @ 6.4% 2-0 @ 6.13% 3-1 @ 2.02% 3-0 @ 1.94% 3-2 @ 1.06% Other @ 1.56% Total : 32.04% | 0-0 @ 13.65% 1-1 @ 13.5% 2-2 @ 3.34% Other @ 0.39% Total : 30.88% | 0-1 @ 14.24% 0-2 @ 7.43% 1-2 @ 7.05% 0-3 @ 2.59% 1-3 @ 2.45% 2-3 @ 1.16% Other @ 2.15% Total : 37.06% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |